Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeMedas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKonyasporÇaykur Rizespor
Shots11 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.31 xG/match0.79 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Melih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLoide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetQazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Haubert Sityá · Konyaspor · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Olawoyin · Çaykur Rizespor · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedrinho · Konyaspor · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedQazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAltin Zeqiri · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 88′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJesurun Rak-Sakyi · Çaykur Rizespor · 19′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedUğurcan Yazğılı · Konyaspor · 7′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSamet Akaydın · Çaykur Rizespor · 45′ · 0.32 xG · goalUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 66′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Konyaspor: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.32 xG. Çaykur Rizespor: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Umut Nayir · Konyaspor · 66′Samet Akaydın · Çaykur Rizespor · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Konyaspor 1.32 xG · Çaykur Rizespor 0.78 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Çaykur Rizespor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Konyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Çaykur Rizespor have a visible away split

moderate

Çaykur Rizespor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.71 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.71 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Konyaspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Konyaspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/matchShotsKonyaspor · Çaykur Rizespor12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKonyasporÇaykur RizesporBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Konyaspor favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Çaykur Rizespor in 1 · 6 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/151.13 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/151.53 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/151.24 xG/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/151.36 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1512 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1514.9 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/153.07 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/155.2 shots/match
52.9%Possessionseason · 15/1550%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/153.33 corners/match
4.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/155 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1514.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1527%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1573%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Konyaspor69.4
Çaykur Rizespor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Konyaspor66.6
Çaykur Rizespor32.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Konyaspor45.3
Çaykur Rizespor23.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Konyaspor69.4
Çaykur Rizespor36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor11.1
Çaykur Rizespor75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor91.7
Çaykur Rizespor2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Konyaspor60.4
Çaykur Rizespor31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.22 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots5/511.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/550.8%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.31 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots10/1012.8 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/103.2 shots/match
52.5%Possession10/1051.2%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.13 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.53 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.24 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots15/1512 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target15/153.07 shots/match
52.9%Possession15/1550%
6 corners/matchCorners15/153.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/71.57 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/71.43 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals8/71.12 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots8/79.71 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/73.14 shots/match
55.1%Possession8/745.6%
6.63 corners/matchCorners8/72.29 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.9 fouls/matchFouls8/714.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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