Süper Lig · 2025Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu

Samsunspor 0–2 Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Başakşehir FK won 0–2.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.70.99
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Başakşehir FK beat Samsunspor 2–0. Recorded in this match (Samsunspor – Başakşehir FK): shots 14–12, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.7–0.99, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Başakşehir FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Başakşehir FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match ●CornersSamsunspor · Başakşehir FK5.5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSamsunsporBaşakşehir FKBaseline
Corners6 corners/match5.5 corners/match4.72 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsSamsunspor 14 shots, Başakşehir FK 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsSamsunspor 4 shots, Başakşehir FK 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG0.99 xGSamsunspor 0.7 xG, Başakşehir FK 0.99 xG
  • Possession53%47%Samsunspor 53%, Başakşehir FK 47%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersSamsunspor 7 corners, Başakşehir FK 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls9 foulsSamsunspor 17 fouls, Başakşehir FK 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Zeki Yavru · Samsunspor · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Kemen · Başakşehir FK · 88′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEmre Kılınç · Samsunspor · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · Başakşehir FK · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOnur Ergün · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Başakşehir FK · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUmut Güneş · Başakşehir FK · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Makoumbou · Samsunspor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChristopher Operi · Başakşehir FK · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSoner Aydoğdu · Samsunspor · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLogi Tomasson · Samsunspor · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Ntcham · Samsunspor · 15′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPolat Yaldır · Samsunspor · 74′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCherif Ndiaye · Samsunspor · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 52′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCarlo Holse · Samsunspor · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEyüp Aydın · Samsunspor · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAbbosbek Fayzullaev · Başakşehir FK · 15′ · 0.11 xG · on targetEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 66′ · 0.12 xG · goalBertuğ Yıldırım · Başakşehir FK · 83′ · 0.19 xG · goalEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 15′ · 0.27 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Samsunspor: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.71 xG. Başakşehir FK: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Eldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 66′Bertuğ Yıldırım · Başakşehir FK · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Samsunspor 0.71 xG · Başakşehir FK 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Samsunspor
1Draws
2Başakşehir FK
Başakşehir FK — Samsunspor · Süper Lig4–0
Samsunspor — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–0
Başakşehir FK — Samsunspor · Süper Lig1–0
Samsunspor — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Samsunspor favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Başakşehir FK in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Samsunspor16 matchesBaşakşehir FK16 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.38 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.27 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots16/1612.7 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target16/164.13 shots/match
50.3%Possession16/16● 55.1%
6 corners/match ●Corners16/165.5 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

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