Championship · 2025Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeCarrow RoadFull-time recap

Norwich City

1–2Full-time recap

Middlesbrough

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Norwich City	Middlesbrough
Shots	14 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.18 xG/match	1.51 xG/match▲
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Norwich City: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.19 xG. Middlesbrough: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 1.19 xG · Middlesbrough 1.53 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Norwich City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Middlesbrough in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.33 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.95 xG/match

1.79 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.63 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39.67 shots/match

15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/39.33 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/31.67 shots/match

53.3%●Possessionseason · 3/350%

3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●6.67 corners/match

5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/313.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Norwich City66.7

Middlesbrough52.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Norwich City60.4

Middlesbrough57.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Norwich City31.3

Middlesbrough90.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Norwich City60.4

Middlesbrough10.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Norwich City18.8

Middlesbrough77.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Norwich City18.8

Middlesbrough81.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Norwich City40.1

Middlesbrough60.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Norwich City3 matchesMiddlesbrough3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.33 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.95 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39.67 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4 shots/match

53.3%●Possession3/350%

3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●6.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Norwich City2 matchesMiddlesbrough2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4