PitchMath
Championship · 2025Carrow Road

Norwich City 1–2 Middlesbrough · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Middlesbrough won 1–2.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.181.51
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Middlesbrough beat Norwich City 2–1. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – Middlesbrough): shots 14–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.18–1.51, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsNorwich City 14 shots, Middlesbrough 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsNorwich City 3 shots, Middlesbrough 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.51 xGNorwich City 1.18 xG, Middlesbrough 1.51 xG
  • Possession59%41%Norwich City 59%, Middlesbrough 41%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersNorwich City 5 corners, Middlesbrough 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsNorwich City 11 fouls, Middlesbrough 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kenny McLean · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOscar Schwartau · Norwich City · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Norwich City · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Middlesbrough · 43′ · 0.04 xG · goalHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJack Stacey · Norwich City · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCallum Brittain · Middlesbrough · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMirko Topić · Norwich City · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Norwich City · 54′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFinn Azaz · Middlesbrough · 3′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSontje Hansen · Middlesbrough · 68′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 85′ · 0.15 xG · goalJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 28′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Norwich City · 35′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 49′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 45′ · 0.76 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.19 xG. Middlesbrough: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Josh Sargent · Norwich City · 85′Finn Azaz · Middlesbrough · 43′Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 1.19 xG · Middlesbrough 1.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Norwich City
2Draws
3Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough — Norwich City · Championship0–0
Norwich City — Middlesbrough · Championship3–3
Middlesbrough — Norwich City · Championship3–1
Norwich City — Middlesbrough · Championship1–2
Middlesbrough — Norwich City · Championship5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Middlesbrough in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City3 matchesMiddlesbrough3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.33 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.95 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/39.67 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession3/350%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6.67 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNorwich CityMiddlesbrough
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headNorwich City — Middlesbrough
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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