Championship · 2025Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeBramall LaneFull-time recap

Sheffield United

0–1Full-time recap

Millwall

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sheffield United	Millwall
Shots	14 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.3 xG/match	1.4 xG/match▲
Possession	62%●	38%
Corners	8 corners/match●	7 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sheffield United: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.35 xG. Millwall: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 1.35 xG · Millwall 1.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Sheffield United have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

10 corners/match●CornersSheffield United · Millwall5.67 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Sheffield United	Millwall	Baseline
Corners	10 corners/match	5.67 corners/match	4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Sheffield United have recorded the higher season possession share.

60%●PossessionSheffield United · Millwall41.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Sheffield United	Millwall	Baseline
Possession	60%	41.3%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match▲ShotsSheffield United · Millwall14.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sheffield United	Millwall	Baseline
Shots	14 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	13 shots/match	13.7 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Millwall in 0 · 13 too close

0.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.36 xG/match

1.28 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.11 xG/match

14 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/314.3 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/313.7 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.33 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34 shots/match

60%●Possessionseason · 3/341.3%

10 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/35.67 corners/match

4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/38 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/315.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

33%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United89.6

Millwall14.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United41

Millwall53.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United28.5

Millwall38.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United35.4

Millwall93.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United52.1

Millwall97.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United97.9

Millwall66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United67.2

Millwall72.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sheffield United3 matchesMillwall3 matches

0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.36 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots3/314.3 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/33.33 shots/match

60%●Possession3/341.3%

10 corners/match●Corners3/35.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/315.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sheffield United2 matchesMillwall2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4