Championship · 2025Fri, 29 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeKing Power StadiumFull-time recap

Leicester City

WLW

2–0Full-time recap

Birmingham City

DWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leicester City	Birmingham City
Shots	5 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.56 xG/match	0.83 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%●
Corners	1 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Leicester City: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG. Birmingham City: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 0.69 xG · Birmingham City 0.89 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match▲ShotsLeicester City · Birmingham City11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Leicester City	Birmingham City	Baseline
Shots	13 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	13 shots/match	5.75 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Leicester City

0Draws

0Birmingham City

6 Apr 2024Leicester City — Birmingham City · Championship2–1

18 Dec 2023Birmingham City — Leicester City · Championship2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 0 · 13 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.47 xG/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.67 xG/match

13 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.5 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/45.75 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/42.25 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/41.5 shots/match

58.8%●Possessionseason · 4/457.8%

5.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/44.25 corners/match

7.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/42.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.25 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/414 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City89.6

Birmingham City85.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City71.5

Birmingham City24.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City52.8

Birmingham City83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City31.2

Birmingham City18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City10.4

Birmingham City83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City64.6

Birmingham City27.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City55.2

Birmingham City37

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leicester City4 matchesBirmingham City4 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.47 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots4/411.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.25 shots/match

58.8%●Possession4/457.8%

5.5 corners/match●Corners4/44.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.25 fouls/matchFouls4/414 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leicester City2 matchesBirmingham City2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.31 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4