Championship · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeEwood ParkFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBlackburn RoversNorwich City
Shots12 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.92 xG/match2.09 xG/match
Possession46%54%
Corners3 corners/match9 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMakhtar Gueye · Blackburn Rovers · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBen Chrisene · Norwich City · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 68′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAnte Crnac · Norwich City · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich City · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMirko Topić · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 85′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSidnei Tavares · Blackburn Rovers · 43′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Norwich City · 16′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 35′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 4′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 25′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 74′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAugustus Kargbo · Blackburn Rovers · 61′ · 0.32 xG · on targetJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 32′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedRyan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 69′ · 0.48 xG · on targetAugustus Kargbo · Blackburn Rovers · 61′ · 0.66 xG · on targetJosh Sargent · Norwich City · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 12 shots, 3 on target, 2.14 xG. Norwich City: 15 shots, 4 on target, 2.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Josh Sargent · Norwich City · 45′Josh Sargent · Norwich City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 2.14 xG · Norwich City 2.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Blackburn Rovers
3Draws
1Norwich City
Blackburn RoversNorwich City · Championship11
Norwich CityBlackburn Rovers · Championship22
Blackburn RoversNorwich City · Championship11
Norwich CityBlackburn Rovers · Championship13
Blackburn RoversNorwich City · Championship02

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Blackburn Rovers favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Norwich City in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.57 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.82 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.8 shots/match
11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/414.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43.75 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43.25 shots/match
48.3%Possessionseason · 4/453.5%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/45 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/49 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Blackburn Rovers39.6
Norwich City68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Blackburn Rovers22.9
Norwich City67.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Blackburn Rovers56.3
Norwich City44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Blackburn Rovers14.6
Norwich City60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers81.2
Norwich City10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers16.7
Norwich City52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Blackburn Rovers33.9
Norwich City50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers4 matchesNorwich City4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.57 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots4/413.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/43.75 shots/match
48.3%Possession4/453.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/45 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Blackburn Rovers2 matchesNorwich City2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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