Championship · 2025Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeMKM StadiumFull-time recap

Hull City

0–3Full-time recap

Blackburn Rovers

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Hull City	Blackburn Rovers
Shots	8 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.52 xG/match	3.03 xG/match▲
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	2 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Hull City: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.53 xG. Blackburn Rovers: 14 shots, 6 on target, 3.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 0.53 xG · Blackburn Rovers 3.08 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Hull City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Hull City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Hull City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match▲ShotsHull City · Blackburn Rovers9.67 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Hull City	Blackburn Rovers	Baseline
Shots	11.3 shots/match	9.67 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	14.3 shots/match	9.67 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Hull City

1Draws

1Blackburn Rovers

29 Dec 2024Blackburn Rovers — Hull City · Championship0–1

7 Dec 2024Hull City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–1

29 Dec 2023Hull City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship3–2

19 Aug 2023Blackburn Rovers — Hull City · Championship1–2

15 Apr 2023Blackburn Rovers — Hull City · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Hull City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Blackburn Rovers in 0 · 13 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.57 xG/match

1.83 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.24 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39.67 shots/match

14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/39.67 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.67 shots/match

55.7%●Possessionseason · 3/349%

4.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/33.67 corners/match

4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/33.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/315.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

33%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hull City77.1

Blackburn Rovers43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hull City41.7

Blackburn Rovers36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hull City23.6

Blackburn Rovers61.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hull City22.9

Blackburn Rovers14.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hull City56.2

Blackburn Rovers93.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hull City54.2

Blackburn Rovers18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hull City50.5

Blackburn Rovers40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Hull City3 matchesBlackburn Rovers3 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.33 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.57 xG/match

11.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39.67 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match

55.7%●Possession3/349%

4.67 corners/match●Corners3/33.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls3/315.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Hull City2 matchesBlackburn Rovers2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4