Championship · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeAshton GateFull-time recap

Bristol City

WDD

4–2Full-time recap

Hull City

DWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bristol City	Hull City
Shots	29 shots/match▲	20 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	3.49 xG/match▲	2.6 xG/match
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	8 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bristol City: 29 shots, 5 on target, 3.47 xG. Hull City: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bristol City 3.47 xG · Hull City 2.62 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bristol City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Bristol City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bristol City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsBristol City · Hull City13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bristol City	Hull City	Baseline
Shots	15.8 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	12.4 shots/match
Shots against	13.3 shots/match	18 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Bristol City

3Draws

0Hull City

8 Mar 2025Bristol City — Hull City · Championship1–1

10 Aug 2024Hull City — Bristol City · Championship1–1

22 Dec 2023Bristol City — Hull City · Championship3–2

25 Aug 2023Hull City — Bristol City · Championship1–1

25 Feb 2023Bristol City — Hull City · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bristol City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hull City in 0 · 13 too close

2.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42.25 goals/match

1.57 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.37 xG/match

1.58 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/42.24 xG/match

15.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.5 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/418 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.25 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45 shots/match

47%Possessionseason · 4/4●52.8%

5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/44.75 corners/match

7.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

7.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bristol City35.4

Hull City64.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bristol City76.4

Hull City70.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bristol City42.4

Hull City12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bristol City89.6

Hull City56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bristol City2.1

Hull City41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bristol City52.1

Hull City39.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bristol City47.4

Hull City60.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bristol City4 matchesHull City4 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

1.57 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.37 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots4/413.5 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.25 shots/match

47%Possession4/4●52.8%

5 corners/match●Corners4/44.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.75 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bristol City2 matchesHull City2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4