Championship · 2025Pride Park Stadium

Derby County 1–1 Bristol City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Derby County and Bristol City drew 1–1.

Shots
511
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.470.76
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Derby County and Bristol City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Derby County – Bristol City): shots 5–11, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.47–0.76, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Derby County show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Derby County's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsDerby County · Bristol City11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDerby CountyBristol CityBaseline
Shots7 shots/match11.3 shots/match9.17 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match11 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots11 shotsDerby County 5 shots, Bristol City 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsDerby County 2 shots, Bristol City 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG0.76 xGDerby County 0.47 xG, Bristol City 0.76 xG
  • Possession52%48%Derby County 52%, Bristol City 48%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersDerby County 4 corners, Bristol City 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls5 foulsDerby County 15 fouls, Bristol City 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Carlton Morris · Derby County · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSinclair Armstrong · Bristol City · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoe Ward · Derby County · 86′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCallum Elder · Derby County · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJason Knight · Bristol City · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoss McCrorie · Bristol City · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Weimann · Derby County · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAnis Mehmeti · Bristol City · 37′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 35′ · 0.22 xG · goalCarlton Morris · Derby County · 86′ · 0.28 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Derby County: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.52 xG. Bristol City: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Carlton Morris · Derby County · 86′Scott Twine · Bristol City · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Derby County 0.52 xG · Bristol City 0.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Derby County
0Draws
3Bristol City
Bristol City — Derby County · Championship1–0
Derby County — Bristol City · Championship3–0
Derby County — Bristol City · Championship1–3
Bristol City — Derby County · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Derby County favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bristol City in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Derby County3 matchesBristol City3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 0.93 xG/match
7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 11.3 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 3 shots/match
43.7%Possession3/3● 44%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners3/34 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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