Championship · 2025Bramall Lane

Sheffield United 1–0 Watford · Championship

1–0Historical match

Watford

LLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sheffield United won 1–0.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.111.09
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sheffield United beat Watford 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sheffield United – Watford): shots 18–13, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.11–1.09, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible home split

moderate

Sheffield United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsSheffield United 18 shots, Watford 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotSheffield United 6 shots, Watford 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.11 xG1.09 xGSheffield United 2.11 xG, Watford 1.09 xG
  • Possession40%60%Sheffield United 40%, Watford 60%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersSheffield United 7 corners, Watford 3 corners

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sam McCallum · Sheffield United · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNestory Irankunda · Watford · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJaphet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKwadwo Baah · Watford · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdo Kayembe · Watford · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJaphet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJaïro Riedewald · Sheffield United · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTom Ince · Watford · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNestory Irankunda · Watford · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 36′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSam McCallum · Sheffield United · 55′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTyrese Campbell · Sheffield United · 59′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKévin Keben Biakolo · Watford · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Wiley · Watford · 49′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMark McGuinness · Sheffield United · 13′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 86′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 31′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Doumbia · Watford · 89′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 59′ · 0.29 xG · on targetCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 59′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 18 shots, 6 on target, 2.07 xG. Watford: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 2.07 xG · Watford 1.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sheffield United
0Draws
1Watford
Watford — Sheffield United · Championship1–2
Sheffield United — Watford · Championship1–0
Sheffield United — Watford · Championship1–0
Watford — Sheffield United · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sheffield United favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Watford in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sheffield United10 matchesWatford10 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.37 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.3 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession10/1052.2%
7.4 corners/match ●Corners10/104 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls9/911.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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