Championship · 2025Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeEwood ParkFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBlackburn RoversSheffield United
Expected goals0.82 xG/match1.28 xG/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Sheffield United. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.64 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Sheffield United.

3.2 daysRest daysBlackburn Rovers · Sheffield United3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversSheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Blackburn Rovers favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 1 · 5 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/110.64 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/111.55 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/111.15 xG/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/111.19 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/1011.8 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/1013.2 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/102.8 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/104.7 shots/match
49.1%Possessionseason · 9/1054.3%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/107.4 corners/match
4.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/103.8 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/913 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1118%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1145%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Blackburn Rovers47.9
Sheffield United77.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Blackburn Rovers27.1
Sheffield United12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Blackburn Rovers39.6
Sheffield United23.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Blackburn Rovers56.2
Sheffield United10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers85.4
Sheffield United93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 41%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers52.1
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Blackburn Rovers53.1
Sheffield United56.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.45 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/43.75 shots/match
50%Possession4/448.5%
6 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/313.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.04 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots9/910.9 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/92.44 shots/match
49.1%Possession9/952.1%
5 corners/matchCorners9/96.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/813.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 11 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/110.64 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/111.55 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals10/111.15 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots9/1011.8 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/102.8 shots/match
49.1%Possession9/1054.3%
5 corners/matchCorners9/107.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/913 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/60.67 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/61.5 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals5/60.92 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots4/59 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/51.6 shots/match
46.5%Possession4/551.2%
5 corners/matchCorners4/57 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/513.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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