Championship · 2025Fratton Park

Portsmouth 1–2 Coventry City · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coventry City won 1–2.

Expected goals
0.762.58

Full time

What the match recorded

Coventry City beat Portsmouth 2–1. Recorded in this match (Portsmouth – Coventry City): expected goals 0.76–2.58. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Portsmouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portsmouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Portsmouth, Coventry City.

3 days ▲Rest daysPortsmouth · Coventry City3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPortsmouthCoventry CityBaseline
Rest days3 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Portsmouth have a visible home split

moderate

Portsmouth's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Expected goals0.76 xG2.58 xGPortsmouth 0.76 xG, Coventry City 2.58 xG

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matt Grimes · Coventry City · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRegan Poole · Portsmouth · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEllis Simms · Coventry City · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEllis Simms · Coventry City · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Segečić · Portsmouth · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndre Dozzell · Portsmouth · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Bianchini · Portsmouth · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaine Kesler-Hayden · Coventry City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRegan Poole · Portsmouth · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMakenzie Kirk · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndre Dozzell · Portsmouth · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedConor Chaplin · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJay Dasilva · Coventry City · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 20′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEllis Simms · Coventry City · 41′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJohn Swift · Portsmouth · 36′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVictor Torp · Coventry City · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKaine Kesler-Hayden · Coventry City · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 30′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMakenzie Kirk · Portsmouth · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 30′ · 0.28 xG · goalBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 8′ · 0.35 xG · on targetEllis Simms · Coventry City · 82′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedBrandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 56′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Portsmouth: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.64 xG. Coventry City: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Makenzie Kirk · Portsmouth · 90′Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 30′Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry City · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Portsmouth 0.64 xG · Coventry City 2.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Portsmouth
0Draws
1Coventry City
Coventry City — Portsmouth · Championship1–0
Portsmouth — Coventry City · Championship4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portsmouth favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Coventry City in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portsmouth11 matchesCoventry City11 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 2.82 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.73 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 2.36 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 17.3 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.9 shots/match
48.9%Possession10/10● 53.3%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.7 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/109.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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