Championship · 2025Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeDeepdaleFull-time recap
32Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPreston North EndSheffield United
Shots15 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.57 xG/match2.37 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners2 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match11 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Preston North End, Sheffield United. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Preston North End, Sheffield United.

3.01 daysRest daysPreston North End · Sheffield United3.01 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPreston North EndSheffield UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.01 days3.01 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Preston North End favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 2 · 5 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/120.75 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/121.67 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/121.26 xG/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/121.23 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1111.8 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1113.4 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/112.82 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/114.55 shots/match
45.9%Possessionseason · 11/1154.2%
3.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/117.09 corners/match
5.18 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/113.64 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1012.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1217%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1250%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Preston North End27.1
Sheffield United77.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Preston North End34.1
Sheffield United13.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Preston North End66.7
Sheffield United18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Preston North End35.4
Sheffield United10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Preston North End6.2
Sheffield United93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 42%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Preston North End6.2
Sheffield United97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Preston North End12.5
Sheffield United57.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.83 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots4/412.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/44 shots/match
49%Possession4/450.8%
3 corners/matchCorners4/46 corners/match
Cards0/0
7.25 fouls/matchFouls4/312.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.24 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots9/911.3 shots/match
3.22 shots/matchShots on target9/92.78 shots/match
47%Possession9/953.1%
3.11 corners/matchCorners9/96.22 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.78 fouls/matchFouls9/813 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/120.75 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.67 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.26 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots11/1111.8 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target11/112.82 shots/match
45.9%Possession11/1154.2%
3.45 corners/matchCorners11/117.09 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls11/1012.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.86 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.13 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots6/69.5 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target6/61.83 shots/match
43%Possession6/651.5%
3.17 corners/matchCorners6/66.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.01 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.01 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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