Championship · 2025Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timePortman Road StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricIpswich TownWest Bromwich Albion
Shots15 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals2.22 xG/match0.39 xG/match
Possession54%46%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaryl Dike · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJack Taylor · Ipswich Town · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 22′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 80′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 65′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 67′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedJack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 83′ · 0.27 xG · goalMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 64′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 86′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedIvan Azón · Ipswich Town · 83′ · 0.43 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 15 shots, 4 on target, 2.36 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jack Clarke · Ipswich Town · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 2.36 xG · West Bromwich Albion 0.41 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town, West Bromwich Albion. A second useful context is: Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town, West Bromwich Albion.

3.7 daysRest daysIpswich Town · West Bromwich Albion2.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIpswich TownWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days3.7 days2.7 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ipswich Town's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ipswich Town's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Ipswich Town favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 2 · 4 too close

1.55 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/121 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/121.17 goals/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/121.01 xG/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/121.2 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1212.4 shots/match
10.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1212.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/123.42 shots/match
2.7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/123.33 shots/match
56%Possessionseason · 10/1252.5%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/124.75 corners/match
4.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/123.75 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/129.33 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1225%
82%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ipswich Town85.4
West Bromwich Albion60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ipswich Town85.4
West Bromwich Albion34
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ipswich Town79.9
West Bromwich Albion60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ipswich Town77.1
West Bromwich Albion27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town77.1
West Bromwich Albion10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ipswich Town68.8
West Bromwich Albion47.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ipswich Town79.2
West Bromwich Albion33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.73 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots4/510 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/52.6 shots/match
55.8%Possession4/551.4%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
1.95 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.86 xG/match
16.4 shots/matchShots9/1011.9 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target9/103.1 shots/match
56.8%Possession9/1053.7%
5.67 corners/matchCorners9/104.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFouls9/109.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 12 matches
1.55 goals/matchGoals scored11/121 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/121.17 goals/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goals11/121.01 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots10/1212.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/123.42 shots/match
56%Possession10/1252.5%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/124.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls10/129.33 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored7/71 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
2.11 xG/matchExpected goals7/70.89 xG/match
16.8 shots/matchShots6/711.1 shots/match
5.83 shots/matchShots on target6/72.57 shots/match
53.8%Possession6/752%
5 corners/matchCorners6/74.29 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/78.29 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.7 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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