Championship · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionPreston North End
Shots16 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.3 xG/match1.39 xG/match
Possession49%51%
Corners8 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match0 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ben Whiteman · Preston North End · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOdeluga Offiah · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrew Hughes · Preston North End · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAli McCann · Preston North End · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Storey · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChris Mepham · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 40′ · 0.03 xG · goalAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 20′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLewis Gibson · Preston North End · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 25′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 63′ · 0.06 xG · goalJordan Storey · Preston North End · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 39′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 25′ · 0.18 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 82′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMichael Smith · Preston North End · 78′ · 0.37 xG · goalMilutin Osmajić · Preston North End · 27′ · 0.38 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.12 xG. Preston North End: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 40′Isaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 63′Michael Smith · Preston North End · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 1.12 xG · Preston North End 1.35 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Preston North End's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Preston North End have a visible away split

moderate

Preston North End's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.8 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Preston North End in 4 · 5 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/101.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/100.9 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.19 xG/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.27 xG/match
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1010.9 shots/match
11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1012.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/103.3 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/103.2 shots/match
52.4%Possessionseason · 10/1045.8%
4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/103.6 corners/match
3.7 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/105.3 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/108.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1040%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion68.8
Preston North End27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion47.9
Preston North End31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion68.7
Preston North End68.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion39.6
Preston North End22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion16.7
Preston North End6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion45.8
Preston North End6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion40.6
Preston North End11.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.19 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/549.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/56.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.19 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots10/1010.9 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
52.4%Possession10/1045.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFouls10/108.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.19 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots10/1010.9 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
52.4%Possession10/1045.8%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFouls10/108.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.11 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
53.2%Possession5/549.4%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/56.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match