Championship · 2025The Valley

Charlton Athletic 1–1 Swansea City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Charlton Athletic and Swansea City drew 1–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.930.71
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charlton Athletic and Swansea City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Charlton Athletic – Swansea City): shots 11–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.93–0.71, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

weak

Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Swansea City have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.3%PossessionCharlton Athletic · Swansea City● 54.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticSwansea CityBaseline
Possession43.3%54.2%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsCharlton Athletic 11 shots, Swansea City 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCharlton Athletic 4 shots, Swansea City 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG0.71 xGCharlton Athletic 0.93 xG, Swansea City 0.71 xG
  • Possession41%59%Charlton Athletic 41%, Swansea City 59%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersCharlton Athletic 4 corners, Swansea City 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsCharlton Athletic 10 fouls, Swansea City 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 89′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdam Idah · Swansea City · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedReece Burke · Charlton Athletic · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Key · Swansea City · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJames Bree · Charlton Athletic · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMacauley Gillesphey · Charlton Athletic · 31′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdam Idah · Swansea City · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdam Idah · Swansea City · 64′ · 0.07 xG · goalSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 6′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Jones · Charlton Athletic · 32′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJosh Key · Swansea City · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAdam Idah · Swansea City · 54′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 46′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.94 xG. Swansea City: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Charlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 46′Adam Idah · Swansea City · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 0.94 xG · Swansea City 0.72 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Charlton Athletic favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Swansea City in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Charlton Athletic13 matchesSwansea City13 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131 goal/match
1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.85 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots12/1210.1 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.17 shots/match
43.3%Possession12/12● 54.2%
3.75 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.17 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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