Championship · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeThe ValleyFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCharlton AthleticWest Bromwich Albion
Shots11 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.13 xG/match1.29 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Sonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOnel Hernández · Charlton Athletic · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 55′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Gilchrist · West Bromwich Albion · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 38′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 12′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 50′ · 0.62 xG · on targetGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 36′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.16 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 13 shots, 1 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Sonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 1.16 xG · West Bromwich Albion 1.33 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlton Athletic, West Bromwich Albion. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Charlton Athletic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlton Athletic's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlton Athletic, West Bromwich Albion.

3.2 daysRest daysCharlton Athletic · West Bromwich Albion3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlton AthleticWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.3 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

West Bromwich Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%PossessionCharlton Athletic · West Bromwich Albion53%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Possession43.8%53%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlton Athletic favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 2 · 5 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/140.86 goals/match
0.79 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/141.07 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 14/141.04 xG/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/141.13 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1412.5 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/1411.8 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/143.43 shots/match
2.54 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/143.21 shots/match
43.8%Possessionseason · 13/1453%
3.77 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/144.86 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/143.71 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1410.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
43%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1429%
79%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlton Athletic14.6
West Bromwich Albion60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlton Athletic52.1
West Bromwich Albion32.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlton Athletic76.4
West Bromwich Albion72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlton Athletic85.4
West Bromwich Albion27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic68.8
West Bromwich Albion27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 43%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic6.2
West Bromwich Albion52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlton Athletic46.9
West Bromwich Albion40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.95 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots4/512.2 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/53.6 shots/match
45.8%Possession4/553.4%
3 corners/matchCorners4/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.6 goals/match
0.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.98 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots9/1012 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target9/103.2 shots/match
42.8%Possession9/1053.7%
2.78 corners/matchCorners9/105.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls8/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/140.86 goals/match
0.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.07 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.04 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots13/1412.5 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target13/143.43 shots/match
43.8%Possession13/1453%
3.77 corners/matchCorners13/144.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1410.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/80.88 goals/match
0.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.38 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals7/80.94 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots7/811.4 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/82.38 shots/match
42.9%Possession7/851.8%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/84.13 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/88.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.3 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match