Championship · 2025King Power Stadium

Leicester City 1–1 Middlesbrough · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Leicester City and Middlesbrough drew 1–1.

Shots
617
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.41.27
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Leicester City and Middlesbrough drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Leicester City – Middlesbrough): shots 6–17, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.4–1.27, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Leicester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leicester City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leicester City, Middlesbrough.

3.3 days ▲Rest daysLeicester City · Middlesbrough3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLeicester CityMiddlesbroughBaseline
Rest days3.3 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots17 shotsLeicester City 6 shots, Middlesbrough 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsLeicester City 2 shots, Middlesbrough 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG1.27 xGLeicester City 1.4 xG, Middlesbrough 1.27 xG
  • Possession37%63%Leicester City 37%, Middlesbrough 63%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersLeicester City 3 corners, Middlesbrough 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsLeicester City 18 fouls, Middlesbrough 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Winks · Leicester City · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum Brittain · Middlesbrough · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHayden Hackney · Middlesbrough · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAidan Morris · Middlesbrough · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Jones · Middlesbrough · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatt Targett · Middlesbrough · 25′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJulián Carranza · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRiley McGree · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalTommy Conway · Middlesbrough · 88′ · 0.29 xG · on targetDavid Strelec · Middlesbrough · 25′ · 0.31 xG · on targetCaleb Okoli · Leicester City · 19′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.40 xG. Middlesbrough: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jordan Ayew · Leicester City · 45′Luke Ayling · Middlesbrough · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 1.40 xG · Middlesbrough 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Leicester City
0Draws
2Middlesbrough
Leicester City — Middlesbrough · Championship1–2
Middlesbrough — Leicester City · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Leicester City favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Middlesbrough in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Leicester City14 matchesMiddlesbrough14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.04 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1312.2 shots/match
4.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.69 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession13/1353.5%
6.38 corners/match ●Corners13/135.31 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls13/139.85 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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