Championship · 2025Deepdale

Preston North End 1–2 Blackburn Rovers · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers won 1–2.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.71.23
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers beat Preston North End 2–1. Recorded in this match (Preston North End – Blackburn Rovers): shots 15–12, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.7–1.23, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Blackburn Rovers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Blackburn Rovers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsPreston North End 15 shots, Blackburn Rovers 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsPreston North End 4 shots, Blackburn Rovers 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG1.23 xGPreston North End 1.7 xG, Blackburn Rovers 1.23 xG
  • Possession46%54%Preston North End 46%, Blackburn Rovers 54%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersPreston North End 3 corners, Blackburn Rovers 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls3 foulsPreston North End 11 fouls, Blackburn Rovers 3 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Smith · Preston North End · 61′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetThierry Small · Preston North End · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Smith · Preston North End · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOdeluga Offiah · Preston North End · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOdeluga Offiah · Preston North End · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Jebbison · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 3′ · 0.08 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLiam Lindsay · Preston North End · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 16′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 67′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 41′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 62′ · 0.15 xG · goalLiam Lindsay · Preston North End · 3′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJordan Storey · Preston North End · 30′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.21 xG · goalAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 45′ · 0.31 xG · goalMakhtar Gueye · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedAndrew Hughes · Preston North End · 30′ · 0.51 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Preston North End: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.80 xG. Blackburn Rovers: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Alfie Devine · Preston North End · 45′Lewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 45′Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Preston North End 1.80 xG · Blackburn Rovers 1.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Preston North End
3Draws
1Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers — Preston North End · Championship2–1
Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–0
Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers · Championship2–2
Blackburn Rovers — Preston North End · Championship1–2
Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Preston North End favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Blackburn Rovers in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Preston North End16 matchesBlackburn Rovers15 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/151.07 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed16/151.33 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals16/15▲ 1.48 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots15/14▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.47 shots/matchShots on target15/14▲ 3.93 shots/match
44.7%Possession15/14● 50.1%
3.4 corners/matchCorners15/14● 5.57 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls15/1411.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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