Championship · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 12:30 UTCFull timeCoventry Building Society ArenaFull-time recap
32Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCoventry CityWest Bromwich Albion
Shots24 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target11 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals2.27 xG/match1.61 xG/match
Possession67%33%
Corners8 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Alex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMilan van Ewijk · Coventry City · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan van Ewijk · Coventry City · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry City · 35′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJosh Eccles · Coventry City · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Eccles · Coventry City · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosh Eccles · Coventry City · 52′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEllis Simms · Coventry City · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 61′ · 0.05 xG · goalLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVictor Torp · Coventry City · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJay Dasilva · Coventry City · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Torp · Coventry City · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosh Eccles · Coventry City · 41′ · 0.08 xG · goalJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 25′ · 0.09 xG · on targetVictor Torp · Coventry City · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 79′ · 0.13 xG · on targetEllis Simms · Coventry City · 56′ · 0.14 xG · goalEllis Simms · Coventry City · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 32′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 37′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 14′ · 0.22 xG · on targetJosh Eccles · Coventry City · 37′ · 0.24 xG · on targetEphron Mason-Clark · Coventry City · 80′ · 0.40 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 32′ · 0.53 xG · goalAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 9′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Coventry City: 24 shots, 11 on target, 2.28 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Josh Eccles · Coventry City · 41′Ellis Simms · Coventry City · 56′Victor Torp · Coventry City · 61′Aune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 9′Aune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Coventry City 2.28 xG · West Bromwich Albion 1.62 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

weak

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Coventry City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/matchShotsCoventry City · West Bromwich Albion13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoventry CityWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match13 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible away split

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Coventry City favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 1 · 3 too close

2.69 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.19 goals/match
2.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/161.11 xG/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/161.19 xG/match
17.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1613 shots/match
10.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1612.4 shots/match
5.93 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/163.69 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/163.75 shots/match
54.7%Possessionseason · 15/1652.3%
5.87 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/165 corners/match
5.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/164.06 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
8.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/169.75 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
44%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1625%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Coventry City77.1
West Bromwich Albion64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Coventry City97.9
West Bromwich Albion43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Coventry City81.3
West Bromwich Albion59.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Coventry City93.8
West Bromwich Albion56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Coventry City2.1
West Bromwich Albion10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Coventry City89.6
West Bromwich Albion43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Coventry City71.9
West Bromwich Albion40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.21 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
57.6%Possession5/550.6%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
6.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
2.2 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.09 xG/match
16.7 shots/matchShots9/1012 shots/match
6.11 shots/matchShots on target9/103.6 shots/match
54.3%Possession9/1050.5%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/105.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
7.11 fouls/matchFouls9/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
2.69 goals/matchGoals scored16/161 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.19 goals/match
2.11 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.11 xG/match
17.4 shots/matchShots15/1613 shots/match
5.93 shots/matchShots on target15/163.69 shots/match
54.7%Possession15/1652.3%
5.87 corners/matchCorners15/165 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.67 fouls/matchFouls15/169.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches
2.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/91 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/91.56 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals8/91.02 xG/match
18.3 shots/matchShots8/910.9 shots/match
5.88 shots/matchShots on target8/92.67 shots/match
58.9%Possession8/949.7%
6.5 corners/matchCorners8/93.78 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.63 fouls/matchFouls8/98.78 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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