PitchMath
Championship · 2025The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Birmingham City · Championship

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City drew 1–1.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.770.99
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City): shots 13–14, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.77–0.99, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Birmingham City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Birmingham City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Birmingham City have a visible away split

moderate

Birmingham City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.88 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.88 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

West Bromwich Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

West Bromwich Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsWest Bromwich Albion · Birmingham City14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionBirmingham CityBaseline
Shots13 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match8.38 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsWest Bromwich Albion 13 shots, Birmingham City 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsWest Bromwich Albion 4 shots, Birmingham City 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG0.99 xGWest Bromwich Albion 0.77 xG, Birmingham City 0.99 xG
  • Possession42%58%West Bromwich Albion 42%, Birmingham City 58%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersWest Bromwich Albion 3 corners, Birmingham City 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsWest Bromwich Albion 7 fouls, Birmingham City 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

George Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 14′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSeung Ho Paik · Birmingham City · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 78′ · 0.02 xG · goalAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSeung Ho Paik · Birmingham City · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 9′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 12′ · 0.05 xG · goalSeung Ho Paik · Birmingham City · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJay Stansfield · Birmingham City · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDemarai Gray · Birmingham City · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKyogo Furuhashi · Birmingham City · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 50′ · 0.11 xG · on targetTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 1′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Klarer · Birmingham City · 63′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 84′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTomoki Iwata · Birmingham City · 82′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.77 xG. Birmingham City: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Alex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 12′Marvin Ducksch · Birmingham City · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 0.77 xG · Birmingham City 0.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1West Bromwich Albion
0Draws
4Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion — Birmingham City · Championship1–0
Birmingham City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship3–1
Birmingham City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–0
West Bromwich Albion — Birmingham City · Championship2–3
Birmingham City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Bromwich Albion favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Birmingham City in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Bromwich Albion17 matchesBirmingham City17 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.58 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots17/16▲ 14.1 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target17/163.81 shots/match
51.7%Possession17/16● 56.8%
4.88 corners/matchCorners17/16● 5.19 corners/match
9.59 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Bromwich AlbionBirmingham City
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headWest Bromwich Albion — Birmingham City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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