Championship · 2025The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion 3–2 Swansea City · Championship

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

West Bromwich Albion won 3–2.

Shots
263
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
1.730.21
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Bromwich Albion beat Swansea City 3–2. Recorded in this match (West Bromwich Albion – Swansea City): shots 26–3, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 1.73–0.21, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Swansea City.

2.79 days ▲Rest daysWest Bromwich Albion · Swansea City3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionSwansea CityBaseline
Rest days2.79 days3.8 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

West Bromwich Albion have a visible home split

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots3 shotsWest Bromwich Albion 26 shots, Swansea City 3 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsWest Bromwich Albion 10 shots, Swansea City 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG0.21 xGWest Bromwich Albion 1.73 xG, Swansea City 0.21 xG
  • Possession65%35%West Bromwich Albion 65%, Swansea City 35%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerWest Bromwich Albion 7 corners, Swansea City 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsWest Bromwich Albion 11 fouls, Swansea City 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 12′ · 0.02 xG · goalChris Mepham · West Bromwich Albion · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBen Cabango · Swansea City · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Gilchrist · West Bromwich Albion · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 52′ · 0.04 xG · goalCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKrystian Bielik · West Bromwich Albion · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 1′ · 0.09 xG · goalSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 47′ · 0.10 xG · goalAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 60′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 70′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 85′ · 0.22 xG · goalJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 26 shots, 10 on target, 1.73 xG. Swansea City: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Aune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 47′Aune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 52′Jayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 85′Žan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 1′Ethan Galbraith · Swansea City · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 1.73 xG · Swansea City 0.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2West Bromwich Albion
1Draws
2Swansea City
Swansea City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–1
West Bromwich Albion — Swansea City · Championship1–0
Swansea City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship1–0
West Bromwich Albion — Swansea City · Championship3–2
Swansea City — West Bromwich Albion · Championship3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Bromwich Albion favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Swansea City in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Bromwich Albion18 matchesSwansea City18 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181 goal/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.5 goals/match
1.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/180.77 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots18/1710.4 shots/match
4.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/173.41 shots/match
52.4%Possession18/17● 55.1%
5 corners/match ●Corners18/174.29 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls18/1610.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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