Championship · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeHillsborough StadiumFull-time recap
23Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield WednesdayPreston North End
Shots12 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals2.33 xG/match0.94 xG/match
Possession57%43%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYan Valery · Sheffield Wednesday · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen Whiteman · Preston North End · 10′ · 0.04 xG · goalMads Frøkjær · Preston North End · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathan Redmond · Sheffield Wednesday · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMads Frøkjær · Preston North End · 76′ · 0.05 xG · goalThierry Small · Preston North End · 9′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 14′ · 0.08 xG · goalJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 9′ · 0.19 xG · on targetCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 3′ · 0.26 xG · goalCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 13′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 57′ · 0.50 xG · goalBailey Cadamarteri · Sheffield Wednesday · 29′ · 0.61 xG · on targetCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 73′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 12 shots, 5 on target, 2.39 xG. Preston North End: 7 shots, 5 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Charlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 3′Charlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 14′Ben Whiteman · Preston North End · 10′Lewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 57′Mads Frøkjær · Preston North End · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 2.39 xG · Preston North End 0.92 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Preston North End. A second useful context is: Preston North End's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield Wednesday, Preston North End.

2.8 daysRest daysSheffield Wednesday · Preston North End3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield WednesdayPreston North EndBaseline
Rest days2.8 days3.8 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Preston North End's recent record differs from the season

weak

Preston North End's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Preston North End in 8 · 6 too close

0.78 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/181.39 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/181.06 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/181.23 xG/match
1.81 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/181.34 xG/match
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1710.6 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1713.4 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/173.53 shots/match
6.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/173.65 shots/match
47.5%Possessionseason · 17/1744.4%
5.41 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/173.29 corners/match
6.12 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/175.82 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1710.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1828%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1883%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield Wednesday35.4
Preston North End14.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield Wednesday13.9
Preston North End32.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield Wednesday4.9
Preston North End59.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield Wednesday18.8
Preston North End31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday89.6
Preston North End27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 44%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield Wednesday64.6
Preston North End2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield Wednesday48.4
Preston North End15.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals5/51 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots5/58.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/542.8%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.6 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.34 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots9/911.4 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target9/93.89 shots/match
53.4%Possession9/945%
6 corners/matchCorners9/93 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls8/910.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 18 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.39 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.06 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.23 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots17/1710.6 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target17/173.53 shots/match
47.5%Possession17/1744.4%
5.41 corners/matchCorners17/173.29 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls16/1710.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 9 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/91.33 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/91.11 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals10/91.16 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots9/911.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target9/94.22 shots/match
52.3%Possession9/946.4%
6 corners/matchCorners9/93.56 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/99.11 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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