Championship · 2025Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeBramall LaneFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedPortsmouth
Shots15 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.27 xG/match0.08 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Colby Bishop · Portsmouth · 12′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Bianchini · Portsmouth · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 73′ · 0.02 xG · goalJosh Murphy · Portsmouth · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMárk Kosznovszky · Portsmouth · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSam McCallum · Sheffield United · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 84′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJaphet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 38′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 54′ · 0.77 xG · goalSydie Peck · Sheffield United · 41′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.29 xG. Portsmouth: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Sydie Peck · Sheffield United · 41′Patrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 54′Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 2.29 xG · Portsmouth 0.09 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Portsmouth's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Portsmouth have a visible away split

moderate

Portsmouth's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United.

3.32 daysRest daysSheffield United · Portsmouth4.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield UnitedPortsmouthBaseline
Rest days3.32 days4.2 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Portsmouth in 3 · 6 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/170.88 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/171.41 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 17/171.1 xG/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 17/171.5 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.8 shots/match
12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1612.9 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/163.44 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/164 shots/match
54.2%Possessionseason · 16/1648.1%
8 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.13 corners/match
3.81 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/165.38 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1610.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1729%
59%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1765%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United72.9
Portsmouth39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United31.9
Portsmouth17.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United33.3
Portsmouth35.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United22.9
Portsmouth52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United75
Portsmouth39.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 44%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United97.9
Portsmouth50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United60.9
Portsmouth33.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.85 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.94 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/546.6%
10 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.97 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots9/911.2 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target9/93.67 shots/match
52.7%Possession9/947.3%
8.22 corners/matchCorners9/94.44 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls8/910.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored17/170.88 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.41 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.1 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots16/1611.8 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target16/163.44 shots/match
54.2%Possession16/1648.1%
8 corners/matchCorners16/165.13 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1610.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/80.75 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals8/80.81 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots8/88 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target8/82.75 shots/match
59.4%Possession8/844.5%
8.63 corners/matchCorners8/84 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/811.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.32 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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