PitchMath
Championship · 2025Ewood Park

Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Queens Park Rangers · Championship

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Queens Park Rangers won 0–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.860.92
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Queens Park Rangers beat Blackburn Rovers 1–0. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Queens Park Rangers): shots 9–10, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.86–0.92, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Blackburn Rovers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Blackburn Rovers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Queens Park Rangers have a visible away split

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsBlackburn Rovers 9 shots, Queens Park Rangers 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsBlackburn Rovers 1 shot, Queens Park Rangers 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.92 xGBlackburn Rovers 0.86 xG, Queens Park Rangers 0.92 xG
  • Possession54%46%Blackburn Rovers 54%, Queens Park Rangers 46%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersBlackburn Rovers 6 corners, Queens Park Rangers 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsBlackburn Rovers 14 fouls, Queens Park Rangers 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Salif Mbengue · Queens Park Rangers · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIlias Chair · Queens Park Rangers · 8′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKaramoko Dembélé · Queens Park Rangers · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRyan Hedges · Blackburn Rovers · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAdam Forshaw · Blackburn Rovers · 83′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 58′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Varane · Queens Park Rangers · 10′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 59′ · 0.21 xG · on targetAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 41′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 78′ · 0.27 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.87 xG. Queens Park Rangers: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Paul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 0.87 xG · Queens Park Rangers 0.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Blackburn Rovers
0Draws
2Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers — Blackburn Rovers · Championship2–1
Blackburn Rovers — Queens Park Rangers · Championship2–0
Blackburn Rovers — Queens Park Rangers · Championship1–2
Queens Park Rangers — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–4
Queens Park Rangers — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Queens Park Rangers in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers16 matchesQueens Park Rangers17 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored16/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/171.47 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/171.28 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots15/16▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target15/16▲ 3.94 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession15/1648.3%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners15/165.19 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBlackburn RoversQueens Park Rangers
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headBlackburn Rovers — Queens Park Rangers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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