Championship · 2025Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich Town 2–1 Oxford United · Championship

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ipswich Town won 2–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.431.08
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ipswich Town beat Oxford United 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ipswich Town – Oxford United): shots 19–8, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.43–1.08, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ipswich Town, Oxford United.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysIpswich Town · Oxford United2.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIpswich TownOxford UnitedBaseline
Rest days2.88 days2.8 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsIpswich Town · Oxford United13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownOxford UnitedBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.75 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Oxford United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Oxford United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsIpswich Town 19 shots, Oxford United 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotIpswich Town 6 shots, Oxford United 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.43 xG1.08 xGIpswich Town 1.43 xG, Oxford United 1.08 xG
  • Possession64%36%Ipswich Town 64%, Oxford United 36%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersIpswich Town 9 corners, Oxford United 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsIpswich Town 9 fouls, Oxford United 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jens Cajuste · Ipswich Town · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Currie · Oxford United · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetStanley Mills · Oxford United · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStanley Mills · Oxford United · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrian De Keersmaecker · Oxford United · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Ipswich Town · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Ipswich Town · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAshley Young · Ipswich Town · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich Town · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 17′ · 0.07 xG · goalMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 58′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLuke Harris · Oxford United · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChuba Akpom · Ipswich Town · 7′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarcelino Núñez · Ipswich Town · 62′ · 0.10 xG · on targetChuba Akpom · Ipswich Town · 40′ · 0.13 xG · goalJaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 24′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedWill Lankshear · Oxford United · 34′ · 0.31 xG · goalJens Cajuste · Ipswich Town · 42′ · 0.33 xG · on targetBrian De Keersmaecker · Oxford United · 51′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Ipswich Town: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.44 xG. Oxford United: 8 shots, 1 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich Town · 17′Chuba Akpom · Ipswich Town · 40′Will Lankshear · Oxford United · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Ipswich Town 1.44 xG · Oxford United 1.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ipswich Town
2Draws
2Oxford United
Oxford United — Ipswich Town · Championship2–1
Oxford United — Ipswich Town · League One2–1
Ipswich Town — Oxford United · League One3–0
Oxford United — Ipswich Town · League One1–1
Ipswich Town — Oxford United · League One0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ipswich Town favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Oxford United in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ipswich Town25 matchesOxford United25 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251 goal/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.4 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.05 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots24/2413.2 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.71 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession24/2442.3%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners24/243.83 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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