Championship · 2025Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeBramall LaneFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSheffield UnitedLeicester City
Shots13 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals2.4 xG/match0.21 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Nelson · Leicester City · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Leicester City · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalPatrick Bamford · Sheffield United · 20′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 30′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 14′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Soumaré · Sheffield United · 14′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJaphet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 36′ · 0.20 xG · goalCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 88′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedThomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 52′ · 0.27 xG · goalCallum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 88′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.43 xG. Leicester City: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Japhet Tanganga · Sheffield United · 36′Thomas Cannon · Sheffield United · 52′Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United · 88′Jordan James · Leicester City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 2.43 xG · Leicester City 0.21 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Leicester City. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United, Leicester City.

2.91 daysRest daysSheffield United · Leicester City2.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield UnitedLeicester CityBaseline
Rest days2.91 days2.91 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield United have a visible home split

moderate

Sheffield United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sheffield United
0Draws
0Leicester City
Leicester CitySheffield United · Championship23

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sheffield United favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Leicester City in 1 · 5 too close

1.44 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/251.4 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/251.48 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/251.09 xG/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/251.44 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2411.4 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2412.8 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/243.67 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/244.25 shots/match
52%Possessionseason · 24/2452%
7.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244.92 corners/match
4.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/245.71 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2411.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
28%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2512%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2584%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sheffield United68.8
Leicester City64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sheffield United68.1
Leicester City37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sheffield United43.1
Leicester City31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sheffield United60.4
Leicester City14.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United47.9
Leicester City79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sheffield United97.9
Leicester City45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sheffield United69.8
Leicester City43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
2.15 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.69 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/58.6 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/52.2 shots/match
53.2%Possession5/547.4%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
2.16 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.92 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots10/108.7 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/102.7 shots/match
48.7%Possession10/1046.2%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.4 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.48 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals25/251.09 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots24/2411.4 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target24/243.67 shots/match
52%Possession24/2452%
7.38 corners/matchCorners24/244.92 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2411.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 13 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored12/131.38 goals/match
1.08 goals/matchGoals allowed12/131.77 goals/match
1.96 xG/matchExpected goals12/131.03 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots12/1210.2 shots/match
4.92 shots/matchShots on target12/123.42 shots/match
56.8%Possession12/1249.5%
8.17 corners/matchCorners12/123.83 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1211.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.91 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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