Championship · 2025Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeEwood ParkFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBlackburn RoversCharlton Athletic
Shots17 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.85 xG/match1.47 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners2 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Luke Berry · Charlton Athletic · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarry Pickering · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuke Berry · Charlton Athletic · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Atcheson · Blackburn Rovers · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDion De Neve · Blackburn Rovers · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Atcheson · Blackburn Rovers · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGreg Docherty · Charlton Athletic · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 65′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 37′ · 0.16 xG · goalMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 77′ · 0.21 xG · goalCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 28′ · 0.33 xG · goalCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 34′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 17 shots, 5 on target, 0.84 xG. Charlton Athletic: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Moussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 37′Moussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 77′Charlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 28′Charlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 0.84 xG · Charlton Athletic 1.45 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Charlton Athletic. A second useful context is: Blackburn Rovers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Charlton Athletic.

3.1 daysRest daysBlackburn Rovers · Charlton Athletic3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversCharlton AthleticBaseline
Rest days3.1 days3 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Blackburn Rovers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Blackburn Rovers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Blackburn Rovers
0Draws
1Charlton Athletic
Charlton AthleticBlackburn Rovers · Championship30

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Blackburn Rovers favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Charlton Athletic in 1 · 7 too close

0.96 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/251 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/251.28 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/250.98 xG/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/251.33 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2411.2 shots/match
11.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2415 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/243.42 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/243.92 shots/match
49.8%Possessionseason · 24/2442.3%
5.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244.21 corners/match
4.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/244.63 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2312.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
28%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2528%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2576%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Blackburn Rovers47.9
Charlton Athletic8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Blackburn Rovers28.5
Charlton Athletic16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Blackburn Rovers79.9
Charlton Athletic41
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Blackburn Rovers47.9
Charlton Athletic64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers79.2
Charlton Athletic93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers81.2
Charlton Athletic10.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Blackburn Rovers58.9
Charlton Athletic34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/51 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
51.8%Possession5/544.4%
4 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.79 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots10/109.8 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/102.7 shots/match
49.4%Possession10/1040.4%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored25/251 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.28 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals25/250.98 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots24/2411.2 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target24/243.42 shots/match
49.8%Possession24/2442.3%
5.63 corners/matchCorners24/244.21 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2312.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 14 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored13/140.86 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/141.43 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals13/140.9 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots12/139.77 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target12/132.77 shots/match
51.1%Possession12/1341.5%
6 corners/matchCorners12/133.62 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1312.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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