Championship · 2025Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeThe ValleyFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCharlton AthleticCoventry City
Shots15 shots/match20 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals1.46 xG/match1.55 xG/match
Possession46%54%
Corners9 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Knibbs · Charlton Athletic · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaine Kesler-Hayden · Coventry City · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmari'i Bell · Charlton Athletic · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoe Rankin-Costello · Charlton Athletic · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTyreece Campbell · Charlton Athletic · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuke Berry · Charlton Athletic · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatt Grimes · Coventry City · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEllis Simms · Coventry City · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetReece Burke · Charlton Athletic · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 47′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJamie Allen · Coventry City · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHaji Wright · Coventry City · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoe Rankin-Costello · Charlton Athletic · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMiles Leaburn · Charlton Athletic · 9′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJamie Allen · Coventry City · 47′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJamie Allen · Coventry City · 47′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 36′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedEllis Simms · Coventry City · 3′ · 0.21 xG · goalCharlie Kelman · Charlton Athletic · 69′ · 0.25 xG · on targetLiam Kitching · Coventry City · 72′ · 0.26 xG · on targetJoe Rankin-Costello · Charlton Athletic · 69′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charlton Athletic: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.60 xG. Coventry City: 20 shots, 7 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Joe Rankin-Costello · Charlton Athletic · 69′Ellis Simms · Coventry City · 3′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charlton Athletic 1.60 xG · Coventry City 1.58 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Coventry City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlton Athletic, Coventry City. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Coventry City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coventry City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match2.2 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Charlton Athletic, Coventry City.

2.8 daysRest daysCharlton Athletic · Coventry City2.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCharlton AthleticCoventry CityBaseline
Rest days2.8 days2.88 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Coventry City show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/matchShotsCharlton Athletic · Coventry City17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharlton AthleticCoventry CityBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Charlton Athletic
0Draws
1Coventry City
Coventry CityCharlton Athletic · Championship31

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Charlton Athletic favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Coventry City in 9 · 4 too close

0.96 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/252.2 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/251.04 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 24/251.86 xG/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 24/251.09 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2417.3 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2411.7 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/245.83 shots/match
3.87 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/243.92 shots/match
42.3%Possessionseason · 23/2454.3%
4.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/245.38 corners/match
4.74 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/245.21 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/249.29 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2536%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2584%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Charlton Athletic10.4
Coventry City77.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Charlton Athletic16
Coventry City97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Charlton Athletic42.3
Coventry City69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Charlton Athletic64.6
Coventry City97.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic93.8
Coventry City2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 46%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Charlton Athletic10.4
Coventry City68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Charlton Athletic34.4
Coventry City66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.25 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots5/515 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/548.6%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.5 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.5 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots10/1017.7 shots/match
2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/106.2 shots/match
40.5%Possession10/1055%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 25 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored24/252.2 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed24/251.04 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals24/251.86 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots23/2417.3 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target23/245.83 shots/match
42.3%Possession23/2454.3%
4.17 corners/matchCorners23/245.38 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls22/249.29 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 13 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored11/132.15 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/131.31 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals11/131.92 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots11/1216.3 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target11/125.92 shots/match
43.3%Possession11/1251.3%
4.91 corners/matchCorners11/124.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/128.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.88 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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