Championship · 2025Carrow Road

Norwich City 0–2 Stoke City · Championship

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stoke City won 0–2.

Shots
714
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.542.06
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stoke City beat Norwich City 2–0. Recorded in this match (Norwich City – Stoke City): shots 7–14, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.54–2.06, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stoke City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stoke City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Norwich City, Stoke City.

3 days ▲Rest daysNorwich City · Stoke City3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNorwich CityStoke CityBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsNorwich City 7 shots, Stoke City 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsNorwich City 1 shot, Stoke City 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.54 xG2.06 xGNorwich City 0.54 xG, Stoke City 2.06 xG
  • Possession52%48%Norwich City 52%, Stoke City 48%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersNorwich City 3 corners, Stoke City 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsNorwich City 9 fouls, Stoke City 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lamine Cissé · Stoke City · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Rigo · Stoke City · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Cissé · Stoke City · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKellen Fisher · Norwich City · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatěj Jurásek · Norwich City · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJovon Makama · Norwich City · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLamine Cissé · Stoke City · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmiliano Marcondes · Norwich City · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBosun Lawal · Stoke City · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLamine Cissé · Stoke City · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBosun Lawal · Stoke City · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDivin Mubama · Stoke City · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAshley Phillips · Stoke City · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 86′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRuairi McConville · Norwich City · 79′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPelle Mattsson · Norwich City · 77′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedSorba Thomas · Stoke City · 82′ · 0.58 xG · goalSam Gallagher · Stoke City · 75′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Norwich City: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.53 xG. Stoke City: 14 shots, 4 on target, 2.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Sam Gallagher · Stoke City · 75′Sorba Thomas · Stoke City · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Norwich City 0.53 xG · Stoke City 2.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Norwich City
2Draws
0Stoke City
Stoke City — Norwich City · Championship1–1
Norwich City — Stoke City · Championship4–2
Stoke City — Norwich City · Championship1–1
Stoke City — Norwich City · Championship0–3
Norwich City — Stoke City · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Norwich City favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Stoke City in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Norwich City26 matchesStoke City26 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.07 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots25/2511.6 shots/match
3.76 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.08 shots/match
51.6%Possession25/25● 53.2%
4.76 corners/matchCorners25/25● 6 corners/match
9.72 fouls/matchFouls25/2411.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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