Championship · 2025Mon, 5 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeKing Power StadiumFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeicester CityWest Bromwich Albion
Shots11 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.81 xG/match1.09 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Caleb Okoli · Leicester City · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCallum Styles · West Bromwich Albion · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Leicester City · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJayson Molumby · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHamza Choudhury · Leicester City · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Monga · Leicester City · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Leicester City · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJordan James · Leicester City · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKarlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 34′ · 0.05 xG · goalBenjamin Nelson · Leicester City · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 29′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAbdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.11 xG · goalGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 40′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Iling Junior · West Bromwich Albion · 80′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 60′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 36′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 18′ · 0.18 xG · goalLouis Page · Leicester City · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.79 xG. West Bromwich Albion: 16 shots, 8 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jordan Ayew · Leicester City · 18′Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester City · 90′Karlan Grant · West Bromwich Albion · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 0.79 xG · West Bromwich Albion 1.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leicester City, West Bromwich Albion. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Leicester City, West Bromwich Albion.

4.1 daysRest daysLeicester City · West Bromwich Albion4.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLeicester CityWest Bromwich AlbionBaseline
Rest days4.1 days4.21 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leicester City
1Draws
0West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich AlbionLeicester City · Championship11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · West Bromwich Albion in 9 · 3 too close

1.42 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/261.12 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261.35 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/261.24 xG/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/261.08 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/2614 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/2611 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/264.38 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/263.35 shots/match
51.8%Possessionseason · 25/2652%
4.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/265.38 corners/match
5.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/263.96 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/269.96 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2619%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2673%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City60.4
West Bromwich Albion64.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City36.1
West Bromwich Albion63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City30.6
West Bromwich Albion72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City14.6
West Bromwich Albion68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City72.9
West Bromwich Albion22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City39.6
West Bromwich Albion68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City40.6
West Bromwich Albion62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.65 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.31 xG/match
8.6 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
48.4%Possession5/552.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
2.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.45 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShots10/1015.5 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target10/105.5 shots/match
46.5%Possession10/1051.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/106 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.12 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.35 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals26/261.24 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots25/2614 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target25/264.38 shots/match
51.8%Possession25/2652%
4.88 corners/matchCorners25/265.38 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls25/269.96 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 14 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored13/140.93 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed13/141.71 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals13/141.1 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots13/1412.1 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target13/143.71 shots/match
53.8%Possession13/1449.7%
5.85 corners/matchCorners13/144.14 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/149.71 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.21 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 6 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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