Championship · 2025Tue, 3 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeEwood ParkFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBlackburn RoversSheffield Wednesday
Shots9 shots/match2 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.9 xG/match0.34 xG/match
Possession46%54%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Hayden Carter · Blackburn Rovers · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLewis Miller · Blackburn Rovers · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 26′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 11′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEiran Cashin · Blackburn Rovers · 12′ · 0.25 xG · goalAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 69′ · 0.26 xG · on targetJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 47′ · 0.28 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 9 shots, 6 on target, 0.90 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Eiran Cashin · Blackburn Rovers · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 0.90 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 0.35 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Sheffield Wednesday. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.6 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Sheffield Wednesday.

3.2 daysRest daysBlackburn Rovers · Sheffield Wednesday3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.3 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sheffield Wednesday show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/matchShotsBlackburn Rovers · Sheffield Wednesday8.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBlackburn RoversSheffield WednesdayBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match8.83 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Blackburn Rovers
1Draws
0Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield WednesdayBlackburn Rovers · Championship00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Blackburn Rovers favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 0 · 3 too close

0.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/300.6 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/301.93 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 30/300.87 xG/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 30/301.83 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/298.83 shots/match
11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/2915.2 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/292.62 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/296.14 shots/match
50.3%Possessionseason · 29/2946.7%
5.76 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/294.72 corners/match
4.66 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/296.31 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2811.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3010%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3043%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Blackburn Rovers47.9
Sheffield Wednesday31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Blackburn Rovers20.8
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Blackburn Rovers73.6
Sheffield Wednesday4.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Blackburn Rovers22.9
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers72.9
Sheffield Wednesday81.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers85.4
Sheffield Wednesday31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Blackburn Rovers53.7
Sheffield Wednesday29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.43 xG/match
8 shots/matchShots5/54.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/51 shots/match
53%Possession5/544.6%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.3 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.53 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots10/106.2 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/101.4 shots/match
52.4%Possession10/1045.5%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored30/300.6 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.93 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals30/300.87 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots29/298.83 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target29/292.62 shots/match
50.3%Possession29/2946.7%
5.76 corners/matchCorners29/294.72 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2811.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 14 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored16/140.79 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed16/141.79 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals16/140.78 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots15/148.21 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target15/142.93 shots/match
51.8%Possession15/1443.3%
6.33 corners/matchCorners15/144.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1311 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.3 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match