Championship · 2025MKM Stadium

Hull City 0–0 Watford · Championship

0–0Historical match

Watford

WLDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hull City and Watford drew 0–0.

Shots
616
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.30.93
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City and Watford drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Hull City – Watford): shots 6–16, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.3–0.93, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Watford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Watford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hull City, Watford.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysHull City · Watford3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricHull CityWatfordBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Watford show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Watford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHull City · Watford13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHull CityWatfordBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots16 shotsHull City 6 shots, Watford 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsHull City 3 shots, Watford 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.3 xG0.93 xGHull City 0.3 xG, Watford 0.93 xG
  • Possession40%60%Hull City 40%, Watford 60%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersHull City 6 corners, Watford 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsHull City 12 fouls, Watford 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edo Kayembe · Watford · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Chakvetadze · Watford · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGiorgi Chakvetadze · Watford · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMamadou Doumbia · Watford · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKwadwo Baah · Watford · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRegan Slater · Hull City · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetImrân Louza · Watford · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Hughes · Hull City · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJohn Egan · Hull City · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Hughes · Hull City · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetImrân Louza · Watford · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedStephen Mfuni · Watford · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Doumbia · Watford · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEdo Kayembe · Watford · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Watford · 67′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedStephen Mfuni · Watford · 44′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.31 xG. Watford: 16 shots, 2 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 0.31 xG · Watford 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Hull City
2Draws
3Watford
Watford — Hull City · Championship2–1
Watford — Hull City · Championship1–0
Hull City — Watford · Championship1–1
Watford — Hull City · Championship0–0
Hull City — Watford · Championship1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hull City favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Watford in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hull City30 matchesWatford30 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.3 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.27 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots29/30▲ 13.9 shots/match
4.28 shots/matchShots on target29/30▲ 4.57 shots/match
45.1%Possession29/30● 51.7%
4.66 corners/matchCorners29/30● 4.7 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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