Championship · 2025Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeEwood ParkFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBlackburn RoversHull City
Shots9 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.5 xG/match1.47 xG/match
Possession62%38%
Corners8 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Adam Forshaw · Blackburn Rovers · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Hughes · Hull City · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRegan Slater · Hull City · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 33′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKieran Dowell · Hull City · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 34′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 65′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 60′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAmir Hadžiahmetović · Hull City · 2′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLewis Koumas · Hull City · 81′ · 0.25 xG · goalJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 2′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedKyle Joseph · Hull City · 88′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.49 xG. Hull City: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lewis Koumas · Hull City · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 0.49 xG · Hull City 1.51 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Blackburn Rovers's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hull City. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Blackburn Rovers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Blackburn Rovers's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.6 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match12 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Hull City.

7 daysRest daysBlackburn Rovers · Hull City7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversHull CityBaseline
Rest days7 days7 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Blackburn Rovers
0Draws
0Hull City
Hull CityBlackburn Rovers · Championship03

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Blackburn Rovers favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Hull City in 5 · 4 too close

0.9 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/291.66 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/291.38 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 29/291.37 xG/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 29/291.75 xG/match
12 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2811.4 shots/match
11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2815.2 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/284.32 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/284.79 shots/match
50.5%Possessionseason · 28/2845.3%
5.68 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/284.61 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/285.86 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2811.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2928%
66%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2986%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Blackburn Rovers47.9
Hull City18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Blackburn Rovers18.7
Hull City66
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Blackburn Rovers67.4
Hull City14.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Blackburn Rovers22.9
Hull City52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers68.8
Hull City85.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 48%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Blackburn Rovers85.4
Hull City22.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Blackburn Rovers51
Hull City54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
0.78 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.34 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
55.6%Possession5/539.2%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.6 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.48 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots10/1011.9 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match
52.4%Possession10/1041.9%
5 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored29/291.66 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.38 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.37 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots28/2811.4 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target28/284.32 shots/match
50.5%Possession28/2845.3%
5.68 corners/matchCorners28/284.61 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.8 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.33 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.27 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots14/1511.2 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target14/154.93 shots/match
52.2%Possession14/1542.7%
6.21 corners/matchCorners14/154.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1510.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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