Championship · 2025Loftus Road Stadium

Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Blackburn Rovers · Championship

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers won 1–3.

Shots
217
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.721.52
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers beat Queens Park Rangers 3–1. Recorded in this match (Queens Park Rangers – Blackburn Rovers): shots 21–7, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.72–1.52, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Blackburn Rovers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Blackburn Rovers's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Queens Park Rangers have a visible home split

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match13 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers.

7.79 days ▲Rest daysQueens Park Rangers · Blackburn Rovers7.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricQueens Park RangersBlackburn RoversBaseline
Rest days7.79 days7.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots7 shotsQueens Park Rangers 21 shots, Blackburn Rovers 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsQueens Park Rangers 4 shots, Blackburn Rovers 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.72 xG1.52 xGQueens Park Rangers 1.72 xG, Blackburn Rovers 1.52 xG
  • Possession58%42%Queens Park Rangers 58%, Blackburn Rovers 42%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerQueens Park Rangers 8 corners, Blackburn Rovers 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsQueens Park Rangers 12 fouls, Blackburn Rovers 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRayan Kolli · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaul Smyth · Queens Park Rangers · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hayden · Queens Park Rangers · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bennie · Queens Park Rangers · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 13′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKoki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 35′ · 0.07 xG · goalHarvey Vale · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hayden · Queens Park Rangers · 27′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 76′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 8′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJimmy Dunne · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.21 xG · on targetRonnie Edwards · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 40′ · 0.40 xG · goalMathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 21′ · 0.42 xG · goalRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 50′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Queens Park Rangers: 21 shots, 4 on target, 1.70 xG. Blackburn Rovers: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Koki Saito · Queens Park Rangers · 35′Mathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 21′Mathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 40′Ryoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Queens Park Rangers 1.70 xG · Blackburn Rovers 1.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Queens Park Rangers
0Draws
2Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers — Queens Park Rangers · Championship0–1
Queens Park Rangers — Blackburn Rovers · Championship2–1
Blackburn Rovers — Queens Park Rangers · Championship2–0
Blackburn Rovers — Queens Park Rangers · Championship1–2
Queens Park Rangers — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Queens Park Rangers favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Blackburn Rovers in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Queens Park Rangers32 matchesBlackburn Rovers32 matches
1.34 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.94 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.25 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.5 shots/match
3.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.29 shots/match
46.6%Possession31/31● 49.9%
5.06 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.55 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls30/3111.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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