PitchMath
Championship · 2025Ewood Park

Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Preston North End · Championship

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Blackburn Rovers won 1–0.

Shots
133
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.060.12
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Blackburn Rovers beat Preston North End 1–0. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Preston North End): shots 13–3, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.06–0.12, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Preston North End's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Preston North End's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.6 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots3 shotsBlackburn Rovers 13 shots, Preston North End 3 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsBlackburn Rovers 3 shots, Preston North End 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG0.12 xGBlackburn Rovers 1.06 xG, Preston North End 0.12 xG
  • Possession45%55%Blackburn Rovers 45%, Preston North End 55%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersBlackburn Rovers 5 corners, Preston North End 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsBlackburn Rovers 8 fouls, Preston North End 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sean McLoughlin · Blackburn Rovers · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEiran Cashin · Blackburn Rovers · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThierry Small · Preston North End · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLewis Dobbin · Preston North End · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKristi Montgomery · Blackburn Rovers · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 52′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.11 xG · goalMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 74′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.04 xG. Preston North End: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 1.04 xG · Preston North End 0.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Blackburn Rovers
2Draws
1Preston North End
Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–2
Blackburn Rovers — Preston North End · Championship2–1
Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–0
Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers · Championship2–2
Blackburn Rovers — Preston North End · Championship1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Preston North End in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers33 matchesPreston North End33 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.06 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots32/3210.5 shots/match
3.28 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 3.53 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession32/3244.7%
5.53 corners/match ●Corners32/324.13 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3210.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBlackburn RoversPreston North End
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headBlackburn Rovers — Preston North End
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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