Championship · 2025Ewood Park

Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Bristol City · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bristol City won 1–2.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.20.78
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bristol City beat Blackburn Rovers 2–1. Recorded in this match (Blackburn Rovers – Bristol City): shots 19–10, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.2–0.78, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Blackburn Rovers, Bristol City.

3.99 days ▲Rest daysBlackburn Rovers · Bristol City3.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBlackburn RoversBristol CityBaseline
Rest days3.99 days3.3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Blackburn Rovers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Blackburn Rovers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsBlackburn Rovers 19 shots, Bristol City 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsBlackburn Rovers 7 shots, Bristol City 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.2 xG0.78 xGBlackburn Rovers 2.2 xG, Bristol City 0.78 xG
  • Possession46%54%Blackburn Rovers 46%, Bristol City 54%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersBlackburn Rovers 6 corners, Bristol City 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsBlackburn Rovers 15 fouls, Bristol City 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ryan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTomi Horvat · Bristol City · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHayden Carter · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEiran Cashin · Blackburn Rovers · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 17′ · 0.05 xG · goalTomi Horvat · Bristol City · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDion De Neve · Blackburn Rovers · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 16′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRyan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedScott Twine · Bristol City · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 55′ · 0.09 xG · on targetScott Twine · Bristol City · 31′ · 0.10 xG · goalSondre Tronstad · Blackburn Rovers · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHayden Carter · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMark Sykes · Bristol City · 18′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Baradji · Blackburn Rovers · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 6′ · 0.16 xG · goalYuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 85′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 45′ · 0.18 xG · on targetKristi Montgomery · Blackburn Rovers · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 78′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedEmil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 9′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDion De Neve · Blackburn Rovers · 81′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMathias Jørgensen · Blackburn Rovers · 52′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Blackburn Rovers: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.25 xG. Bristol City: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn Rovers · 6′Emil Riis Jacobsen · Bristol City · 17′Scott Twine · Bristol City · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Blackburn Rovers 2.25 xG · Bristol City 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Blackburn Rovers
0Draws
2Bristol City
Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–1
Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship2–1
Blackburn Rovers — Bristol City · Championship3–0
Bristol City — Blackburn Rovers · Championship5–0
Blackburn Rovers — Bristol City · Championship2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Blackburn Rovers favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bristol City in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Blackburn Rovers34 matchesBristol City34 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.24 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals34/341.24 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.18 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession33/3349%
5.55 corners/match ●Corners33/335.06 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls33/339.76 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 24 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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