Championship · 2025Tue, 24 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeThe HawthornsFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionCharlton Athletic
Shots18 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.96 xG/match0.3 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners7 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Alex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlex Mowatt · West Bromwich Albion · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJed Wallace · West Bromwich Albion · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamaldeen Jimoh · West Bromwich Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSonny Carey · Charlton Athletic · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Price · West Bromwich Albion · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Taylor · West Bromwich Albion · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Phillips · West Bromwich Albion · 55′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAune Selland Heggebø · West Bromwich Albion · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Taylor · West Bromwich Albion · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 25′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 7′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 89′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 45′ · 0.18 xG · goalMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 45′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLyndon Dykes · Charlton Athletic · 70′ · 0.26 xG · goalMikey Johnston · West Bromwich Albion · 86′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedJosh Maja · West Bromwich Albion · 52′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Bromwich Albion: 18 shots, 2 on target, 1.99 xG. Charlton Athletic: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′George Campbell · West Bromwich Albion · 45′Lyndon Dykes · Charlton Athletic · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Bromwich Albion 1.99 xG · Charlton Athletic 0.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Charlton Athletic. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

West Bromwich Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Bromwich Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Charlton Athletic.

3.3 daysRest daysWest Bromwich Albion · Charlton Athletic3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionCharlton AthleticBaseline
Rest days3.3 days3.2 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Charlton Athletic have a visible away split

moderate

Charlton Athletic's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.71 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.71 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Bromwich Albion
0Draws
1Charlton Athletic
Charlton AthleticWest Bromwich Albion · Championship10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

West Bromwich Albion favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Charlton Athletic in 3 · 4 too close

0.97 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/340.97 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.26 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/340.98 xG/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/341.38 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3310.8 shots/match
10.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3315.4 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/333.45 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/333.94 shots/match
51.3%Possessionseason · 34/3343.2%
5.24 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/334.12 corners/match
3.68 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/334.79 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3212.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3432%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3476%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Bromwich Albion60.4
Charlton Athletic6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Bromwich Albion44.5
Charlton Athletic16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Bromwich Albion58.3
Charlton Athletic37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Bromwich Albion64.6
Charlton Athletic52.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion31.2
Charlton Athletic93.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Bromwich Albion60.4
Charlton Athletic6.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Bromwich Albion52.1
Charlton Athletic33.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.07 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
1.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
51.4%Possession5/538.6%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.03 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots10/1010 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
48.8%Possession10/1045.3%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored34/340.97 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.26 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals34/340.98 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots34/3310.8 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target34/333.45 shots/match
51.3%Possession34/3343.2%
5.24 corners/matchCorners34/334.12 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3212.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 18 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/180.89 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed17/181.44 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals17/180.85 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots17/178.71 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on target17/172.76 shots/match
53.8%Possession17/1741.6%
6.35 corners/matchCorners17/173.12 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.2 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 24 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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