PitchMath
Championship · 2025Hillsborough Stadium

Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Millwall · Championship

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Millwall won 1–2.

Shots
1119
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.921.92
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millwall beat Sheffield Wednesday 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sheffield Wednesday – Millwall): shots 11–19, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.92–1.92, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.59 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Millwall show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Millwall's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.71 shots/match ▲ShotsSheffield Wednesday · Millwall12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield WednesdayMillwallBaseline
Shots8.71 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots19 shotsSheffield Wednesday 11 shots, Millwall 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsSheffield Wednesday 3 shots, Millwall 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG1.92 xGSheffield Wednesday 0.92 xG, Millwall 1.92 xG
  • Possession33%67%Sheffield Wednesday 33%, Millwall 67%
  • Corners3 corners11 cornersSheffield Wednesday 3 corners, Millwall 11 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsSheffield Wednesday 9 fouls, Millwall 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTayo Adaramola · Sheffield Wednesday · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJake Cooper · Millwall · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCole McGhee · Sheffield Wednesday · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCamiel Neghli · Millwall · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Taylor · Millwall · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTristan Crama · Millwall · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFemi Azeez · Millwall · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Taylor · Millwall · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCamiel Neghli · Millwall · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTristan Crama · Millwall · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosh Coburn · Millwall · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Taylor · Millwall · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Watson · Millwall · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCamiel Neghli · Millwall · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJosh Coburn · Millwall · 25′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBarry Bannan · Millwall · 31′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Taylor · Millwall · 54′ · 0.10 xG · on targetCole McGhee · Millwall · 72′ · 0.10 xG · goalJosh Coburn · Millwall · 31′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMihailo Ivanović · Millwall · 81′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedOlaf Kobacki · Sheffield Wednesday · 47′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedFemi Azeez · Millwall · 81′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedMacaulay Langstaff · Millwall · 74′ · 0.44 xG · goalJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 60′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield Wednesday: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.05 xG. Millwall: 20 shots, 7 on target, 1.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 60′Cole McGhee · Millwall · 72′Macaulay Langstaff · Millwall · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield Wednesday 1.05 xG · Millwall 1.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sheffield Wednesday
1Draws
3Millwall
Millwall — Sheffield Wednesday · Championship1–0
Sheffield Wednesday — Millwall · Championship2–2
Millwall — Sheffield Wednesday · Championship3–0
Millwall — Sheffield Wednesday · Championship0–2
Sheffield Wednesday — Millwall · Championship0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sheffield Wednesday favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Millwall in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sheffield Wednesday32 matchesMillwall32 matches
0.59 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.28 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.16 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.32 xG/match
8.71 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 12.9 shots/match
2.55 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.13 shots/match
46%Possession31/31● 46.8%
4.58 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.45 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSheffield WednesdayMillwall
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headSheffield Wednesday — Millwall
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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