Championship · 2025Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeSwansea.com StadiumFull-time recap
40Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSwansea CitySheffield Wednesday
Shots22 shots/match3 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals1.87 xG/match0.06 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Josh Tymon · Swansea City · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarko Stamenić · Swansea City · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJarvis Thornton · Sheffield Wednesday · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamal Lowe · Sheffield Wednesday · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Nunes · Swansea City · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJosh Tymon · Swansea City · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCharlie McNeill · Sheffield Wednesday · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Nunes · Swansea City · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEthan Galbraith · Swansea City · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRonald · Swansea City · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBen Cabango · Swansea City · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Nunes · Swansea City · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 70′ · 0.11 xG · goalLiam Cullen · Swansea City · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMalick Yalcouyé · Swansea City · 88′ · 0.16 xG · goalŽan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 79′ · 0.26 xG · goalGonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 19′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Swansea City: 22 shots, 6 on target, 1.84 xG. Sheffield Wednesday: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gonçalo Franco · Swansea City · 19′Žan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 70′Žan Vipotnik · Swansea City · 79′Malick Yalcouyé · Swansea City · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Swansea City 1.84 xG · Sheffield Wednesday 0.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Sheffield Wednesday's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.58 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield Wednesday show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/matchShotsSwansea City · Sheffield Wednesday8.63 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSwansea CitySheffield WednesdayBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match8.63 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Swansea City have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9%PossessionSwansea City · Sheffield Wednesday46.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSwansea CitySheffield WednesdayBaseline
Possession54.9%46.5%50.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Swansea City
0Draws
0Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield WednesdaySwansea City · Championship02

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Swansea City favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 0 · 3 too close

1.23 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/310.58 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/312 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/310.84 xG/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/311.83 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/308.63 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3015.4 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/302.53 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/306.13 shots/match
54.9%Possessionseason · 30/3046.5%
4.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/304.63 corners/match
4.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/306.37 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.93 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2911.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3110%
81%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3142%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Swansea City81.2
Sheffield Wednesday31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Swansea City47.2
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Swansea City46.5
Sheffield Wednesday3.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Swansea City14.6
Sheffield Wednesday2.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Swansea City18.8
Sheffield Wednesday85.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Swansea City43.8
Sheffield Wednesday27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Swansea City42.7
Sheffield Wednesday29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.37 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShots5/54 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/50.8 shots/match
55.2%Possession5/543%
6.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals10/100.45 xG/match
15.5 shots/matchShots10/105.4 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target10/101.1 shots/match
55.1%Possession10/1045.7%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored31/310.58 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed31/312 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals31/310.84 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots30/308.63 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on target30/302.53 shots/match
54.9%Possession30/3046.5%
4.93 corners/matchCorners30/304.63 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.93 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 15 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored16/150.73 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed16/151.93 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals16/150.73 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots15/157.87 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target15/152.73 shots/match
56.4%Possession15/1543%
5 corners/matchCorners15/154.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.53 fouls/matchFouls15/1411.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.68 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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