PitchMath
Championship · 2025MKM Stadium

Hull City 1–3 Queens Park Rangers · Championship

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Queens Park Rangers won 1–3.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
2.111.64
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Queens Park Rangers beat Hull City 3–1. Recorded in this match (Hull City – Queens Park Rangers): shots 14–12, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 2.11–1.64, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hull City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Hull City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Queens Park Rangers have a visible away split

moderate

Queens Park Rangers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Queens Park Rangers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Queens Park Rangers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHull City · Queens Park Rangers13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHull CityQueens Park RangersBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsHull City 14 shots, Queens Park Rangers 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsHull City 4 shots, Queens Park Rangers 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG1.64 xGHull City 2.11 xG, Queens Park Rangers 1.64 xG
  • Possession59%41%Hull City 59%, Queens Park Rangers 41%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersHull City 8 corners, Queens Park Rangers 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsHull City 8 fouls, Queens Park Rangers 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lewie Coyle · Hull City · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 8′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAmir Hadžiahmetović · Hull City · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRayan Kolli · Queens Park Rangers · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Millar · Hull City · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Bennie · Queens Park Rangers · 84′ · 0.03 xG · goalRhys Norrington-Davies · Queens Park Rangers · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAmir Hadžiahmetović · Hull City · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Hayden · Queens Park Rangers · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Salif Mbengue · Queens Park Rangers · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 89′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRegan Slater · Hull City · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPaddy McNair · Hull City · 51′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYu Hirakawa · Hull City · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Madsen · Queens Park Rangers · 75′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPaddy McNair · Queens Park Rangers · 21′ · 0.15 xG · goalOliver McBurnie · Hull City · 30′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJohn Egan · Hull City · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.30 xG · on targetRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.32 xG · goalJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 14′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedRichard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 90′ · 0.58 xG · on targetJoe Gelhardt · Hull City · 39′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hull City: 14 shots, 4 on target, 2.05 xG. Queens Park Rangers: 13 shots, 9 on target, 1.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Joe Gelhardt · Hull City · 39′Paddy McNair · Queens Park Rangers · 21′Daniel Bennie · Queens Park Rangers · 84′Richard Kone · Queens Park Rangers · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hull City 2.05 xG · Queens Park Rangers 1.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Hull City
0Draws
3Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers — Hull City · Championship3–2
Hull City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship1–2
Queens Park Rangers — Hull City · Championship1–3
Hull City — Queens Park Rangers · Championship3–0
Queens Park Rangers — Hull City · Championship2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hull City favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Queens Park Rangers in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hull City32 matchesQueens Park Rangers33 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/331.39 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed32/331.42 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/331.19 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots31/32▲ 13 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/324.03 shots/match
46.3%Possession31/32● 46.5%
4.68 corners/matchCorners31/32● 5.03 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHull CityQueens Park Rangers
CompetitionChampionshipChampionship 2025/26
Head-to-headHull City — Queens Park Rangers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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