PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade du Pays de Charleroi

RC Sporting Charleroi 2–1 Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Sporting Charleroi won 2–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.71.48
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charleroi beat Antwerp 2–1. Recorded in this match (Charleroi – Antwerp): shots 13–12, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.7–1.48, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Antwerp's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Antwerp's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Antwerp show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Antwerp's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCharleroi · Antwerp11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCharleroiAntwerpBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match11 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 13 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsRC Sporting Charleroi 5 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG1.48 xGRC Sporting Charleroi 1.7 xG, Royal Antwerp FC 1.48 xG
  • Possession45%55%RC Sporting Charleroi 45%, Royal Antwerp FC 55%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersRC Sporting Charleroi 2 corners, Royal Antwerp FC 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsRC Sporting Charleroi 12 fouls, Royal Antwerp FC 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsRC Sporting Charleroi 3 cards, Royal Antwerp FC 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernier · Charleroi · 30′ · 0.02 xG · goalDennis Praet · Antwerp · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Valencia · Antwerp · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Valencia · Antwerp · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Hamdaoui · Antwerp · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDennis Praet · Antwerp · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYuto Tsunashima · Antwerp · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAiham Ousou · Charleroi · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMauricio Benitez · Antwerp · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 39′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Valencia · Antwerp · 10′ · 0.10 xG · on targetYoussef Hamdaoui · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJeff Godelaine · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 48′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAntoine Bernier · Charleroi · 63′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedLewin Blum · Charleroi · 86′ · 0.26 xG · on targetPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 63′ · 0.57 xG · goalVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Charleroi: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG. Antwerp: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Antoine Bernier · Charleroi · 30′Patrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 63′Vincent Janssen · Antwerp · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Charleroi 1.67 xG · Antwerp 1.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RC Sporting Charleroi
1Draws
1Royal Antwerp FC
Royal Antwerp FC — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League0–2
RC Sporting Charleroi — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League1–1
Royal Antwerp FC — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League1–2
Royal Antwerp FC — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League1–3
RC Sporting Charleroi — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Sporting Charleroi favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Royal Antwerp FC in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Sporting Charleroi34 matchesRoyal Antwerp FC34 matches
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341 goal/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.15 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots34/3411 shots/match
4.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.91 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession34/3448.3%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners34/344.21 corners/match
2.21 cards/matchCards29/302.2 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC Sporting CharleroiRoyal Antwerp FC
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Sporting Charleroi — Royal Antwerp FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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