PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Bosuilstadion

Royal Antwerp FC 1–2 KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk won 1–2.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.091.87
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genk beat Antwerp 2–1. Recorded in this match (Antwerp – Genk): shots 13–12, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.09–1.87, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genk's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genk's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genk have a visible away split

moderate

Genk's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Genk have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.1%PossessionAntwerp · Genk● 59.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAntwerpGenkBaseline
Possession48.1%59.5%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsRoyal Antwerp FC 13 shots, KRC Genk 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsRoyal Antwerp FC 2 shots, KRC Genk 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.87 xGRoyal Antwerp FC 1.09 xG, KRC Genk 1.87 xG
  • Possession56%44%Royal Antwerp FC 56%, KRC Genk 44%
  • Corners3 corners0 cornersRoyal Antwerp FC 3 corners, KRC Genk 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsRoyal Antwerp FC 12 fouls, KRC Genk 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsRoyal Antwerp FC 2 cards, KRC Genk 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anthony Valencia · Antwerp · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYaimar Medina · Genk · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFarouck Adekami · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDennis Praet · Antwerp · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYuto Tsunashima · Antwerp · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAaron Bibout · Genk · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Hamdaoui · Antwerp · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarwan Al-Sahafi · Antwerp · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKen Nkuba · Genk · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 81′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 86′ · 0.09 xG · goalChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 33′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 49′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRobin Mirisola · Genk · 28′ · 0.17 xG · on targetDaan Heymans · Genk · 39′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedThibo Somers · Antwerp · 7′ · 0.44 xG · on targetDaan Heymans · Genk · 51′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Antwerp: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.07 xG. Genk: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.89 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Christopher Scott · Antwerp · 86′Daan Heymans · Genk · 45′Daan Heymans · Genk · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Antwerp 1.07 xG · Genk 1.89 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Royal Antwerp FC
3Draws
0KRC Genk
Royal Antwerp FC — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League3–0
KRC Genk — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League1–1
KRC Genk — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League0–1
Royal Antwerp FC — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–1
Royal Antwerp FC — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royal Antwerp FC favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · KRC Genk in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royal Antwerp FC33 matchesKRC Genk33 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.52 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.48 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 5.79 shots/match
48.1%Possession33/33● 59.5%
4.06 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.27 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards30/281.46 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyal Antwerp FCKRC Genk
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyal Antwerp FC — KRC Genk
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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