PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Den Dreef

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–3 Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Standard Liège won 1–3.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.062.02
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Standard Liege beat OH Leuven 3–1. Recorded in this match (OH Leuven – Standard Liege): shots 14–12, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.06–2.02, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Standard Liege's recent record differs from the season

weak

Standard Liege's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Standard Liege show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Standard Liege's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsOH Leuven · Standard Liege9.58 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOH LeuvenStandard LiegeBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match9.58 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 14 shots, Standard Liège 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 4 shots, Standard Liège 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG2.02 xGOud-Heverlee Leuven 1.06 xG, Standard Liège 2.02 xG
  • Possession55%45%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 55%, Standard Liège 45%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersOud-Heverlee Leuven 7 corners, Standard Liège 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsOud-Heverlee Leuven 7 fouls, Standard Liège 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Casper Nielsen · Standard Liege · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbe Hautekiet · Standard Liege · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEwoud Pletinckx · OH Leuven · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoggerio Nyakossi · OH Leuven · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThibaud Verlinden · OH Leuven · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoggerio Nyakossi · OH Leuven · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHenok Teklab · OH Leuven · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEwoud Pletinckx · OH Leuven · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThibaud Verlinden · OH Leuven · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoggerio Nyakossi · OH Leuven · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThibaud Verlinden · OH Leuven · 54′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNoë Dussenne · OH Leuven · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDennis Eckert Ayensa · Standard Liege · 65′ · 0.06 xG · goalKyan Vaesen · OH Leuven · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · OH Leuven · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEwoud Pletinckx · OH Leuven · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 35′ · 0.13 xG · on targetCasper Nielsen · Standard Liege · 24′ · 0.15 xG · on targetTimothé Nkada · Standard Liege · 47′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedEwoud Pletinckx · Standard Liege · 80′ · 0.17 xG · goalHenry Lawrence · Standard Liege · 62′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedTimothé Nkada · Standard Liege · 54′ · 0.39 xG · on targetHenok Teklab · OH Leuven · 48′ · 0.44 xG · goalDennis Eckert Ayensa · Standard Liege · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

OH Leuven: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.03 xG. Standard Liege: 13 shots, 8 on target, 2.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Henok Teklab · OH Leuven · 48′Dennis Eckert Ayensa · Standard Liege · 65′Ewoud Pletinckx · Standard Liege · 80′Dennis Eckert Ayensa · Standard Liege · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: OH Leuven 1.03 xG · Standard Liege 2.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2Draws
0Standard Liège
Standard Liège — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League0–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–1
Standard Liège — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League0–1
Standard Liège — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Standard Liège in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oud-Heverlee Leuven33 matchesStandard Liège33 matches
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.97 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.04 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots33/339.58 shots/match
4.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.33 shots/match
45.2% ●Possession33/3344.5%
5.12 corners/match ●Corners33/334.24 corners/match
3.17 cards/matchCards29/292.38 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOud-Heverlee LeuvenStandard Liège
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headOud-Heverlee Leuven — Standard Liège
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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