PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade Joseph Marien

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1–0 Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 1–0.

Shots
166
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.010.53
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat St. Truiden 1–0. Recorded in this match (Union St. Gilloise – St. Truiden): shots 16–6, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.01–0.53, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

St. Truiden's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St. Truiden's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

St. Truiden show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

St. Truiden's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsUnion St. Gilloise · St. Truiden13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseSt. TruidenBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against7.94 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.85 corners/match ●CornersUnion St. Gilloise · St. Truiden5.58 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseSt. TruidenBaseline
Corners5.85 corners/match5.58 corners/match4.91 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 16 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG0.53 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.01 xG, Sint-Truidense VV 0.53 xG
  • Possession53%47%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 53%, Sint-Truidense VV 47%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 7 corners, Sint-Truidense VV 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 9 fouls, Sint-Truidense VV 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 3 cards, Sint-Truidense VV 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ross Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 17′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 62′ · 0.02 xG · goalRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBesfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mac Allister · Union St. Gilloise · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBesfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 31′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBesfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 9′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 75′ · 0.14 xG · on targetShogo Taniguchi · St. Truiden · 25′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union St. Gilloise: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG. St. Truiden: 6 shots, 0 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Guilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union St. Gilloise 1.02 xG · St. Truiden 0.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1Draws
0Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–3
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Sint-Truidense VV in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise33 matchesSint-Truidense VV33 matches
1.64 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.61 goals/match
0.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.12 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals32/311.65 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots33/3313.8 shots/match
5.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/334.21 shots/match
53.4%Possession33/33● 54.8%
5.85 corners/match ●Corners33/335.58 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards28/281.79 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseSint-Truidense VV
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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