PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 0–1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 0–1.

Shots
418
Shots on target
08
Expected goals
0.362.74
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat KV Mechelen 1–0. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – Union St. Gilloise): shots 4–18, shots on target 0–8, expected goals 0.36–2.74, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KV Mechelen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

KV Mechelen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.97 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · Union St. Gilloise15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Shots9.97 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match7.82 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots18 shotsKV Mechelen 4 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 18 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots8 shotsKV Mechelen 0 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.36 xG2.74 xGKV Mechelen 0.36 xG, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.74 xG
  • Possession56%44%KV Mechelen 56%, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 44%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersKV Mechelen 2 corners, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 9 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls17 foulsKV Mechelen 7 fouls, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsKV Mechelen 1 card, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 84′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRedouane Halhal · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.12 xG · goalAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 35′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 1′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Fuseini · Union St. Gilloise · 84′ · 0.53 xG · on targetKevin Mac Allister · Union St. Gilloise · 43′ · 0.55 xG · on targetMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 49′ · 0.61 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.31 xG. Union St. Gilloise: 18 shots, 8 on target, 2.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ross Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 0.31 xG · Union St. Gilloise 2.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KV Mechelen
2Draws
2Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–0
KV Mechelen — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–1
KV Mechelen — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen34 matchesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise34 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.62 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲ 1.73 xG/match
9.97 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 15.1 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 5.35 shots/match
50%Possession34/34● 53.1%
4.68 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.94 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCards29/282.5 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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