PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Planet Group Arena

KAA Gent 1–1 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KAA Gent and KV Mechelen drew 1–1.

Shots
68
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.830.81
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gent and KV Mechelen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Gent – KV Mechelen): shots 6–8, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.83–0.81, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gent's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gent's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots8 shotsKAA Gent 6 shots, KV Mechelen 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsKAA Gent 4 shots, KV Mechelen 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG0.81 xGKAA Gent 0.83 xG, KV Mechelen 0.81 xG
  • Possession35%65%KAA Gent 35%, KV Mechelen 65%
  • Corners5 corners10 cornersKAA Gent 5 corners, KV Mechelen 10 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsKAA Gent 9 fouls, KV Mechelen 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsKAA Gent 1 card, KV Mechelen 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMax Dean · Gent · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMax Dean · Gent · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatties Volckaert · Gent · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBill Antonio · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalMichał Skóraś · Gent · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSiebe Van Der Heyden · Gent · 10′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMax Dean · Gent · 15′ · 0.40 xG · goalBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 76′ · 0.65 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gent: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.80 xG. KV Mechelen: 8 shots, 6 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Max Dean · Gent · 15′Bill Antonio · KV Mechelen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gent 0.80 xG · KV Mechelen 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KAA Gent
2Draws
0KV Mechelen
KAA Gent — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1
KV Mechelen — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League1–1
KV Mechelen — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League3–3
KAA Gent — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–0
KV Mechelen — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KAA Gent favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KAA Gent33 matchesKV Mechelen33 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.33 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/311.19 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots33/3310.2 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.97 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession33/3349.8%
4.58 corners/matchCorners33/33● 4.76 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards28/292.28 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKAA GentKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKAA Gent — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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