PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

RAAL La Louvière 0–1 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FCV Dender won 0–1.

Shots
227
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.141.16
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

FCV Dender beat RAAL La Louvière 1–0. Recorded in this match (RAAL La Louvière – FCV Dender): shots 22–7, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.14–1.16, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FCV Dender show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsRAAL La Louvière · FCV Dender10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreFCV DenderBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match15.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FCV Dender have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.7%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · FCV Dender● 47.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreFCV DenderBaseline
Possession38.7%47.5%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots7 shotsRAAL La Louvière 22 shots, FCV Dender 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsRAAL La Louvière 4 shots, FCV Dender 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG1.16 xGRAAL La Louvière 2.14 xG, FCV Dender 1.16 xG
  • Possession54%46%RAAL La Louvière 54%, FCV Dender 46%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRAAL La Louvière 4 corners, FCV Dender 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsRAAL La Louvière 8 fouls, FCV Dender 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RAAL La Louvière
1Draws
1FCV Dender
RAAL La Louvière — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–2
FCV Dender — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RAAL La Louvière favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière34 matchesFCV Dender31 matches
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/310.81 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/311.65 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals32/31▲ 1.13 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots34/3110.8 shots/match
3.15 shots/matchShots on target34/31▲ 3.81 shots/match
38.7%Possession34/31● 47.5%
4.79 corners/match ●Corners34/313.71 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls34/3111.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRAAL La LouvièreFCV Dender
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRAAL La Louvière — FCV Dender
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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