Belgian Pro League · 2025Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

RAAL La Louvière

LDDWD

0–1Full-time recap

FCV Dender

LDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	RAAL La Louvière	FCV Dender
Shots	22 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.14 xG/match▲	1.16 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	4 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	0.91 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FCV Dender show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FCV Dender's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsRAAL La Louvière · FCV Dender10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	RAAL La Louvière	FCV Dender	Baseline
Shots	11.1 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	13.2 shots/match
Shots against	12.2 shots/match	15.1 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FCV Dender have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.7%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · FCV Dender●47.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	RAAL La Louvière	FCV Dender	Baseline
Possession	38.7%	47.5%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0RAAL La Louvière

1Draws

1FCV Dender

5 Dec 2025RAAL La Louvière — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–2

28 Sept 2025FCV Dender — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

RAAL La Louvière favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 3 · 4 too close

0.91 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/310.81 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 34/311.65 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 32/31▲1.13 xG/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 32/311.58 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3110.8 shots/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 34/3115.1 shots/match

3.15 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/31▲3.81 shots/match

4.74 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/314.74 shots/match

38.7%Possessionseason · 34/31●47.5%

4.79 corners/match●Cornersseason · 34/313.71 corners/match

4.18 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 34/315.58 corners/match

1.96 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3111.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3119%

56%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/31▲61%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RAAL La Louvière2.9

FCV Dender32.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RAAL La Louvière16.7

FCV Dender14.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RAAL La Louvière59.8

FCV Dender12.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RAAL La Louvière79.4

FCV Dender26.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RAAL La Louvière48.2

FCV Dender50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RAAL La Louvière44.1

FCV Dender5.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RAAL La Louvière33.8

FCV Dender23.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière34 matchesFCV Dender31 matches

0.91 goals/match▲Goals scored34/310.81 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowed34/311.65 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals32/31▲1.13 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots34/3110.8 shots/match

3.15 shots/matchShots on target34/31▲3.81 shots/match

38.7%Possession34/31●47.5%

4.79 corners/match●Corners34/313.71 corners/match

1.96 cards/matchCards28/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls34/3111.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

RAAL La Louvière18 matchesFCV Dender16 matches

0.72 goals/matchGoals scored18/16▲0.81 goals/match

1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/161.44 goals/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals17/161.08 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots18/1610.4 shots/match

3.72 shots/matchShots on target18/16▲4.13 shots/match

42.1%Possession18/16●45.8%

5.78 corners/match●Corners18/163.69 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards14/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1611.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4