PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

FCV Dender 1–2 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Zulte Waregem won 1–2.

Shots
1524
Shots on target
59
Expected goals
1.963.69
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Zulte Waregem beat FCV Dender 2–1. Recorded in this match (FCV Dender – SV Zulte Waregem): shots 15–24, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 1.96–3.69, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

weak

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.81 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots24 shotsFCV Dender 15 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 24 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots9 shotsFCV Dender 5 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.96 xG3.69 xGFCV Dender 1.96 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 3.69 xG
  • Possession49%51%FCV Dender 49%, SV Zulte Waregem 51%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersFCV Dender 2 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsFCV Dender 12 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FCV Dender
1Draws
1SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–0
FCV Dender — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FCV Dender favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FCV Dender32 matchesSV Zulte Waregem35 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored32/35▲ 1.34 goals/match
1.66 goals/matchGoals allowed32/35▲ 1.51 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲ 1.37 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots32/35▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target32/35▲ 4.29 shots/match
47.5%Possession32/35● 48%
3.66 corners/matchCorners32/35● 4.69 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3510.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFCV DenderSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headFCV Dender — SV Zulte Waregem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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