Belgian Pro League · 2025Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FCV Dender

DDLLW

1–2Full-time recap

SV Zulte Waregem

LLLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FCV Dender	SV Zulte Waregem
Shots	15 shots/match	24 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.96 xG/match	3.69 xG/match▲
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

weak

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.81 goals/match	1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0FCV Dender

1Draws

1SV Zulte Waregem

7 Feb 2026SV Zulte Waregem — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League1–0

7 Nov 2025FCV Dender — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FCV Dender favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 11 · 2 too close

0.81 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/35▲1.34 goals/match

1.66 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/35▲1.51 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 32/33▲1.37 xG/match

1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 32/33▲1.53 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/35▲12.9 shots/match

15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/35▲12.8 shots/match

3.84 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/35▲4.29 shots/match

4.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/35▲4.63 shots/match

47.5%Possessionseason · 32/35●48%

3.66 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/35●4.69 corners/match

5.59 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/35▲4.86 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/281.64 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3510.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/35▲20%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/35▲77%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FCV Dender32.4

SV Zulte Waregem38.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FCV Dender14.7

SV Zulte Waregem48

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FCV Dender10.8

SV Zulte Waregem44.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FCV Dender26.5

SV Zulte Waregem55.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender55.9

SV Zulte Waregem29.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FCV Dender5.9

SV Zulte Waregem38.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FCV Dender25

SV Zulte Waregem41.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FCV Dender32 matchesSV Zulte Waregem35 matches

0.81 goals/matchGoals scored32/35▲1.34 goals/match

1.66 goals/matchGoals allowed32/35▲1.51 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲1.37 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots32/35▲12.9 shots/match

3.84 shots/matchShots on target32/35▲4.29 shots/match

47.5%Possession32/35●48%

3.66 corners/matchCorners32/35●4.69 corners/match

—Cards0/281.64 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3510.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FCV Dender16 matchesSV Zulte Waregem18 matches

0.81 goals/matchGoals scored16/18▲1.39 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed16/18▲1.78 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲1.36 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots16/18▲12.2 shots/match

3.56 shots/matchShots on target16/18▲4.06 shots/match

49.3%●Possession16/1848.7%

3.63 corners/matchCorners16/18●4.83 corners/match

—Cards0/142 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1811.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.14 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples32 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4