PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Standard Liège 1–2 KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KVC Westerlo won 1–2.

Shots
718
Shots on target
410
Expected goals
22.72
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

KVC Westerlo beat Standard Liege 2–1. Recorded in this match (Standard Liege – KVC Westerlo): shots 7–18, shots on target 4–10, expected goals 2–2.72, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Standard Liege's recent record differs from the season

weak

Standard Liege's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Standard Liege show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Standard Liege's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsStandard Liege · KVC Westerlo14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStandard LiegeKVC WesterloBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots18 shotsStandard Liège 7 shots, KVC Westerlo 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots10 shotsStandard Liège 4 shots, KVC Westerlo 10 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG2.72 xGStandard Liège 2 xG, KVC Westerlo 2.72 xG
  • Possession47%53%Standard Liège 47%, KVC Westerlo 53%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersStandard Liège 1 corner, KVC Westerlo 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsStandard Liège 9 fouls, KVC Westerlo 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsStandard Liège 3 cards, KVC Westerlo 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Josimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDoğucan Haspolat · KVC Westerlo · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarco Ilaimaharitra · Standard Liege · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNaoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni · KVC Westerlo · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCasper Nielsen · Standard Liege · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDoğucan Haspolat · KVC Westerlo · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDoğucan Haspolat · KVC Westerlo · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArthur Piedfort · KVC Westerlo · 15′ · 0.07 xG · on targetArthur Piedfort · KVC Westerlo · 10′ · 0.13 xG · on targetArthur Piedfort · KVC Westerlo · 51′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Patrao · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 2′ · 0.16 xG · on targetEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 53′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 36′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAdnane Abid · Standard Liege · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 36′ · 0.23 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 14′ · 0.27 xG · on targetDylan Ourega · KVC Westerlo · 85′ · 0.42 xG · goalTimothé Nkada · Standard Liege · 76′ · 0.47 xG · goalRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 46′ · 0.70 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 10′ · 0.72 xG · goalRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 36′ · 0.74 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Standard Liege: 7 shots, 4 on target, 2.23 xG. KVC Westerlo: 18 shots, 10 on target, 2.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Timothé Nkada · Standard Liege · 76′Nacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 10′Dylan Ourega · KVC Westerlo · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Standard Liege 2.23 xG · KVC Westerlo 2.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Standard Liège
3Draws
1KVC Westerlo
Standard Liège — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–0
KVC Westerlo — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League0–2
KVC Westerlo — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League0–0
Standard Liège — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–1
KVC Westerlo — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Standard Liège favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · KVC Westerlo in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Standard Liège34 matchesKVC Westerlo34 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.29 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.53 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 14.9 shots/match
3.35 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 4.71 shots/match
44.5%Possession34/34● 49.7%
4.15 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.47 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards30/301.83 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3411.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStandard LiègeKVC Westerlo
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headStandard Liège — KVC Westerlo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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